AmmoSight

New Mexico Elk ELK-1-170

Antlerless elk in GMU 4, any legal weapon, Nov 7–11, 2026. 15% public land, mostly State land.

No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

No nonresident draw results are on file for this hunt. New Mexico Department of Game and Fish publishes resident results only, or none by residency. The numbers below are the resident draw.

Your odds · 2026 draw

21% Same for everyone

10 tags for 28 first-choice applicants

Every applicant has the same chance each year: in 2026, 10 tags went to 28 first-choice applicants.

Points: none, same chance every year

Resident Tags
10
Applicants
28
Success
57%

First-choice residents. Success: all hunters in GMU 4, 2025.

Odds by Year, 2023–2026

odds (tags ÷ applicants) applicants per tag
31% 50% 37% 36%
2023
3:1
2024
2:1
2025
3:1
2026
3:1

Odds (tags ÷ applicants) ran from 31% to 50% across 2023–2026. Applicants per tag: 3.2:1 in 2023, 2.8:1 in 2026.

What It Costs · 2026 Resident Fees

Closes Mar 17 · 150 days
Cost to Apply
$129
If You Miss
$36
If You Draw
$139

The $7 resident draw application fee (per species, nonrefundable; included in the printed draw price) is not refunded. The $25 resident Game-Hunting License (must be purchased, nonrefundable, before applying) is not refunded. The $4 habitat Management and Access Validation (HMAV), mandatory age 18+ is not refunded. Drawing adds the $10 habitat Stamp (required to hunt on BLM and Forest Service land). The $93 resident Elk License, mature bull or either sex, any fee tier (printed $100 incl. $7 application fee); antlerless $70 printed ($63 + $7) is refunded if you miss.

Opens
—
Closes
Mar 17, 2027
Results
about Apr 21

Next application window: Closes Mar 17, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until New Mexico Department of Game and Fish publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
4
57%hunter success 2025 · 1,239 hunters, 1,254 elk
GMU 4 in full →

Details

Odds in This Draw · 2026 Draw

Who Chance Applied Drew
Everyone 21% — 6

First-choice tags drawn ÷ first-choice applicants, as published. A dash means New Mexico Department of Game and Fish did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: NMDGF 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds Complete Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
5%

Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published.

3rd Choice
7%

Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
All of GMU 4 1,239 1,254 57%

Across every license type in GMU 4, New Mexico Department of Game and Fish counted 1,239 hunters and 1,254 elk taken in 2025, and 57% of them took an elk. Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: NMDGF 2025-2026 Elk Harvest Report; NMDGF 2024-2025 Elk Harvest Report.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws

The standard draw for residents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Published Odds Source
2026 10 28 2.8 11% NMDGF 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds Complete Report
2025 10 27 2.7 15% NMDGF 2025-26 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete…
2024 10 20 2 15% NMDGF 2024-25 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete…
2023 10 32 3.2 13% NMDGF 2023 Big-Game Complete Drawing Odds Report

Other Licenses Valid in GMU 4

  • ELK-1-165 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — mature bull or antlerless — Any Legal — Oct. 10-14 Oct 10–14 · 9 tags · 425 applied 2%
  • ELK-1-166 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — mature bull or antlerless — Any Legal — Oct. 17-21 Oct 17–21 · 9 tags · 94 applied 6%
  • ELK-1-167 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — mature bull or antlerless — Any Legal — Oct. 24-28 Oct 24–28 · 9 tags · 92 applied 5%
  • ELK-1-168 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — mature bull or antlerless — Any Legal — Oct. 31-Nov. 4 Oct 31 – Nov 4 · 9 tags · 77 applied 6%
  • ELK-1-169 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — antlerless — Any Legal — Nov. 7-11 Nov 7–11 · 10 tags · 39 applied 18%
  • ELK-1-173 Unit 4: Humphries/ Rio Chama WMAs only — mature bull or antlerless — Any Legal — Oct.… Oct 10–14 · 14 tags · 162 applied 5%
  • ELK-1-174 Unit 4: Humphries/ Rio Chama WMAs only — mature bull or antlerless — Any Legal — Oct.… Oct 17–21 · 14 tags · 60 applied 7%
  • ELK-1-175 Unit 4: Humphries/ Rio Chama WMAs only — antlerless — Any Legal — Nov. 7-11 Nov 7–11 · 10 tags · 23 applied 22%
  • ELK-1-176 Unit 4: Humphries/ Rio Chama WMAs only, youth only — antlerless — Any Legal — Nov. 7-11Youth only Nov 7–11 · 15 tags · 20 applied 25%
  • ELK-1-177 Unit 4: Rio Chama WMA only — antlerless — Any Legal — Nov. 14-18 Nov 14–18 · 20 tags · 29 applied 21%
  • ELK-2-163 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — either sex — Bow — Sept. 1-14 Sep 1–14 · 9 tags · 59 applied 8%
  • ELK-2-164 Unit 4: Sargent WMA only — either sex — Bow — Sept. 15-24 Sep 15–24 · 9 tags · 136 applied 5%
  • ELK-2-171 Unit 4: Humphries/Rio Chama WMAs only — either sex — Bow - Humphries/ — Sept. 1-14 Sep 1–14 · 9 tags · 11 applied 36%
  • ELK-2-172 Unit 4: Humphries/Rio Chama WMAs only — either sex — Bow - Humphries/ — Sept. 15-24 Sep 15–24 · 9 tags · 43 applied 12%

Odds for a first-choice resident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for New Mexico elk
▸ Sources 14
  1. NMDGF 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds Complete Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. NMDGF 2025-26 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete… earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. NMDGF 2024-25 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete… earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. NMDGF 2023 Big-Game Complete Drawing Odds Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. New Mexico Commission of Public Records - State Records Center and Archives 2023 19.31.3 NMAC draw rules, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. NMDGF 2026-2027 Draw Hunt License Fees / Draw… fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. NMDGF 2026-2027 Over-the-Counter License Fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. NMDGF 2025-2026 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. NMDGF 2024-2025 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. NMDGF 2023 Elk Hunter Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. NMDGF 2022 Elk Hunter Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. NMDGF 2021 Elk Hunter Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. NMDGF 2026 NM Game Management Units, layer 0 boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. U.S. Bureau of Land Management, New Mexico State Office 2023 BLM_Surface_Management_2023 land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from New Mexico Department of Game and Fish's published results (first-choice tags drawn ÷ first-choice applicants, as published). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check New Mexico Department of Game and Fish's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from New Mexico Department of Game and Fish's results, not a forecast · All New Mexico elk hunts