AmmoSight

Arizona Elk 3054

General Elk · Antlerless elk in Units 15A, 15B and 18A, rifle only, Dec 4–10, 2026.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

100% Undersubscribed

150 tags (all residencies) for 12 nonresident first-choice applicants

127 first-choice applicants for 150 tags (all residencies) in 2026, but only 4 of the 12 nonresident first-choice applicants drew (nonresidents are capped at 10%).

Years to draw on points: now

Tags
150
Nonresident Applicants
12
Success
—

First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 10%.

Points Needed to Draw, 2023–2026

points needed applicants per tag
0 0 0 you: 0
2023
0.5:1
2025
0.8:1
2026
0.8:1

The cut has been 0 points every year since 2023. Applicants per tag: 0.5:1 in 2023, 0.8:1 in 2026.

The cut has been 0 points in each of the last 3 draws (2023–2026), so there is no creep to project.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Feb 3 · 107 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$825

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $650 nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
Jan 13, 2027
Closes
Feb 3, 2027
Results
about Feb 23

Next application window: Open Jan 13 – Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–10 ← you 100% — —

Computed from the agency's published draw results. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 28, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
16%

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 3 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags (All Res.) Nonresident Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 150 12 0.8 0 33% AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 28
2025 150 3 0.8 0 67% AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 28
2023 150 6 0.5 0 67% AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 17

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 3054 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2024 · Unit 10 750 47 0.6 0 AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 22
▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Arizona elk
▸ Sources 5
  1. AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 28 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 28 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 17 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (computed from the agency's published draw results). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona elk hunts