Wyoming Elk 51-2
Any elk north and east of the Clark's Fork River in Hunt Area 51 — Sunlight-Crandall, any legal weapon, Oct 1 – Nov 5, 2026. 98% public land, mostly Forest Service. Type 2.
Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw
no one below 11 points drew in 2026
You're 11 points below the 2026 cut of 11, which has risen from 7 to 11 points since 2021.
Years to draw on points: 22 yrs (at least 11)
- NR Tags
- 2
- Applicants
- 24
- Success
- 28%
First-choice nonresidents, regular draw. Success: Type 2 hunters, 2025.
Points Needed to Draw, 2021–2026
The cut has risen from 7 to 11 points since 2021. Applicants per tag: 11:1 in 2021, 12:1 in 2026.
Point creep: drew out at 7 → 12 → 11 → 7 → 11 points (2022–2026), +0.5 points/yr (range +0.0 to +2.0). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.
What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees
Closes Feb 1 · 106 daysThe $15 nonresident big game application fee (per species applied for) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $21.50 conservation stamp (annual; required with any hunting license). The $692 nonresident elk license (regular), includes fishing privileges is refunded if you miss. A nonresident elk preference point is $52, bought separately.
- Opens
- Jan 2, 2027
- Closes
- Feb 1, 2027
- Results
- about May 20
- Point Only
- $52, Jul 1 – Nov 1
Next application window: Open Jan 2 – Feb 1, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Wyoming Game and Fish Department publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Nonresident big game application fee (per species applied for) · paid at application $15 WGFD 2026 License Fee List
- Conservation stamp (annual; required with any hunting license) · paid if drawn $21.50 WGFD 2026 License Fee List
- Nonresident elk license (regular), includes fishing privileges · paid at application, refundable $692 WGFD 2026 License Fee List
- Nonresident elk preference point · bought separately, not counted above — an unsuccessful applicant gets no point without it $52 WGFD 2026 Game and Fish Commission Chapter 44
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 ← you | 0% (small sample) same at every level counted in one band: 10 points or fewer | 22 | 0 |
| 11 | 100% (small sample) the cut | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | 100% (small sample) | 0 | 0 |
| 13–14 | 100% (small sample) same at every level | — | — |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Wyoming Game and Fish Department did not publish a count for that level: it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 51-2 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.
Draw results: WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 15, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
How It Hunted, 2025
| Who | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| Type 2 | 40 | 11 | 28% |
| All of Hunt Area 51 | 281 | 120 | 43% |
Across every license type in Hunt Area 51, Wyoming Game and Fish Department counted 281 hunters and 120 elk taken in 2025, and 43% of them took an elk. The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Wyoming's figures are estimates from a voluntary post-season survey of license holders, extrapolated to every license issued — not a count of animals checked in. Source: WGFD 2025 Elk Harvest Report; WGFD 2024 Elk Harvest Report.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 6 draws
The regular draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Random Pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 0 tags of 38 | WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 15 |
| 2025 | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 7 | 0 tags of 26 | WGFD 2025 Demand Report, p. 15 |
| 2024 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 11 | 0 tags of 36 | WGFD 2024 Demand Report, p. 14 |
| 2023 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 12 | 0 tags of 44 | WGFD 2023 Demand Report, p. 13 |
| 2022 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 0 tags of 29 | WGFD 2022 Demand Report, p. 12 |
| 2021 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 7 | 0 tags of 38 | WGFD 2021 Demand Report, p. 11 |
Other Licenses Valid in Hunt Area 51
- 51-1 Any elk south and west of the Clark's Fork River Oct 1 – Nov 5 · 9 tags · cut 16 <1%
- 51-4 Antlerless elk Nov 16 – Dec 15 · 4 tags · cut 2 4% (small sample)
- 51-9 Any elk, archery only Sep 1–30 · 6 tags · cut 9 3%
Odds at your points, nonresident, regular class where offered. * fewer than 5 tags.
▸ Legal Cartridges 21 on file for Wyoming elk
21 cartridges on file are legal for elk with a rifle in Wyoming (this license takes any legal weapon). Rules and sources: Wyoming hunting laws.
▸ Sources 16
- WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 15 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2025 Demand Report, p. 15 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2024 Demand Report, p. 14 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2023 Demand Report, p. 13 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2022 Demand Report, p. 12 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2021 Demand Report, p. 11 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- WGFD 2026 Game and Fish Commission Chapter 44 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2026 License Fee List fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- Wyoming Game and Fish Commission 2026 Chapter 7, p. 8 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2025 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2024 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2023 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2022 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2021 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- WGFD 2026 Elk Hunt Areas boundary, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- U.S. Bureau of Land Management, Wyoming State Office 2026 BLM WY Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- wy_blm_sma_2026 map shading
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Wyoming Game and Fish Department's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.
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We don't take applications: check Wyoming Game and Fish Department's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Wyoming Game and Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Wyoming elk hunts