Wyoming Elk 51-9

Any elk, archery only in Hunt Area 51 — Sunlight-Crandall, archery only, Sep 1–30, 2026. 98% public land, mostly Forest Service. Type 9.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

3% Below the cut

about 1 in 32, from the random pass

You're 9 points below the 2026 cut of 9, which has risen from 7 to 9 points since 2021.

Years to draw on points: 18 yrs (at least 9)

NR Tags
6
Applicants
37
Success
38%

First-choice nonresidents, regular draw. Success: Type 9 hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2021–2026

points needed applicants per tag
7 7 8 8 10 9 you: 0 pts, below the chart ↓
2021
12:1
2022
6:1
2023
4:1
2024
4:1
2025
8:1
2026
6:1

The cut has risen from 7 to 9 points since 2021. Applicants per tag: 12:1 in 2021, 6.2:1 in 2026.

Point creep: drew out at 7 → 8 → 8 → 9 → 9 points (2022–2026), +0.5 points/yr (range +0.0 to +1.5). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Feb 1 · 106 days
Cost to Apply
$707
If You Miss
$15
If You Draw
$800.50

The $15 nonresident big game application fee (per species applied for) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $72 nonresident archery license (required to hunt archery-only seasons/types). Drawing adds the $21.50 conservation stamp (annual; required with any hunting license). The $692 nonresident elk license (regular), includes fishing privileges is refunded if you miss. A nonresident elk preference point is $52, bought separately.

Opens
Jan 2, 2027
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Results
about May 20
Point Only
$52, Jul 1 – Nov 1

Next application window: Open Jan 2 – Feb 1, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Wyoming Game and Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
51
43%hunter success 2025 · 281 hunters, 120 elk
Forest Service 98% Private 2% State <1% Hunt Area 51 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–8 ← you 3% counted in one band: 8 points or fewer 32 0
9 100% 1 1
10 100% 2 2
11 100% 1 1
12 100% 0 0
13 100% 0 0
14 100% 0 0
15 100% 1 1

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Wyoming Game and Fish Department did not publish a count for that level: it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 51-9 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 15, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Type 9 71 27 38%
All of Hunt Area 51 281 120 43%

Across every license type in Hunt Area 51, Wyoming Game and Fish Department counted 281 hunters and 120 elk taken in 2025, and 43% of them took an elk. The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Wyoming's figures are estimates from a voluntary post-season survey of license holders, extrapolated to every license issued — not a count of animals checked in. Source: WGFD 2025 Elk Harvest Report; WGFD 2024 Elk Harvest Report.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 6 draws

The regular draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2026 6 37 6.2 9 1 tag of 49 WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 15
2025 7 53 7.6 9 1 tag of 76 WGFD 2025 Demand Report, p. 15
2024 7 30 4.3 8 1 tag of 35 WGFD 2024 Demand Report, p. 14
2023 7 30 4.3 8 1 tag of 47 WGFD 2023 Demand Report, p. 13
2022 6 36 6 7 1 tag of 47 WGFD 2022 Demand Report, p. 12
2021 6 69 11.5 7 1 tag of 103 WGFD 2021 Demand Report, p. 12

Other Licenses Valid in Hunt Area 51

  • 51-1 Any elk south and west of the Clark's Fork River Oct 1 – Nov 5 · 9 tags · cut 16 <1%
  • 51-2 Any elk north and east of the Clark's Fork River Oct 1 – Nov 5 · 2 tags · cut 11 0% (small sample)
  • 51-4 Antlerless elk Nov 16 – Dec 15 · 4 tags · cut 2 4% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident, regular class where offered. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 16
  1. WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 15 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. WGFD 2025 Demand Report, p. 15 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. WGFD 2024 Demand Report, p. 14 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. WGFD 2023 Demand Report, p. 13 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. WGFD 2022 Demand Report, p. 12 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. WGFD 2021 Demand Report, p. 12 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. WGFD 2026 Game and Fish Commission Chapter 44 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. WGFD 2026 License Fee List fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  9. Wyoming Game and Fish Commission 2026 Chapter 7, p. 8 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  10. WGFD 2025 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  11. WGFD 2024 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  12. WGFD 2023 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  13. WGFD 2022 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  14. WGFD 2021 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  15. WGFD 2026 Elk Hunt Areas boundary, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  16. U.S. Bureau of Land Management, Wyoming State Office 2026 BLM WY Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  17. wy_blm_sma_2026 map shading

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Wyoming Game and Fish Department's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Wyoming Game and Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Wyoming Game and Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Wyoming elk hunts