Wyoming Elk 45-1 — Hunt Area 45, Type 1
Any elk · Paint Rock Creek
- What you may take
- Any elk
- Weapon
- Any legal weapon
- Season (2026)
- Oct 15 – Nov 4, 2026
- Nonresident tags (2026)
- 21
- for 224 first-choice applicants
- Hunter success here (2025)
- 35%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results (Regular class). Switch to resident · Regular Special Landowner
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 21 tags, 224 first-choice applicants, drew out at 13 points. Source: 2026 Demand Report · p. 12.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–12 | 3% same chance at every one of these levels | 186 counted in one band: just under 13 points | 0 |
| 13 | 39% | 27 plus 2 party applications averaging just under 14 points, 2 drawn | 10 |
| 14 | 100% | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Wyoming Game and Fish Department did not publish a count for that level — it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $728.50 (enough points to draw) to $1,148.50 (lowest published odds).
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $52 (Jul 1 – Nov 2, expected) and keeps you moving toward the 13-point cut.
Next application window: opens Jan 2, closes Feb 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 21. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Drew out at 12 → 13 → 12 → 12 → 13 points (2022–2026): +0.2 points/yr (range +0.0 to +1.0). Projecting that pace forward:
| Your points now | Years until a sure thing |
|---|---|
| 0 | 18 yrs (13–∞) |
| 2 | 15 yrs (11–∞) |
| 4 | 12 yrs (9–∞) |
| 6 | 10 yrs (7–∞) |
| 8 | 7 yrs (5–∞) |
| 10 | 4 yrs (3–∞) |
| 12 | 2 yrs (1–∞) |
A projection of the last five draws' median creep (capped at 2 points/yr), not a forecast. Random-pass odds still apply every year you're below the cut.
Seasons (2026)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Hunt Area 45, Wyoming Game and Fish Department counted 903 hunters and 314 elk taken in 2025 — 35% of them killed something. Full Hunt Area 45 profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2025) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type 1 | 296 | 137 | 46% | 16.1 |
Wyoming's figures are estimates from a voluntary post-season survey of license holders, extrapolated to every license issued — not a count of animals checked in. Source: Elk 2025 Harvest Report Elk 2024 Harvest Report
As a lower choice
Tags left after higher choices ÷ applicants at this choice — 0.0 tags left after higher choices. Points do not help a lower choice.
Tags left after higher choices ÷ applicants at this choice — 0.0 tags left after higher choices. Points do not help a lower choice.
Year by year
The regular draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Random pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21 | 224 | 10.7 | 13 | 7 tagsfrom 324 applications | 2026 Demand Report · p. 12 |
| 2025 | 21 | 241 | 11.5 | 12 | 7 tagsfrom 332 applications | 2025 Demand Report · p. 12 |
| 2024 | 24 | 310 | 12.9 | 12 | 7 tagsfrom 413 applications | 2024 Demand Report · p. 11 |
| 2023 | 25 | 311 | 12.4 | 13 | 8 tagsfrom 443 applications | 2023 Demand Report · p. 11 |
| 2022 | 25 | 367 | 14.7 | 12 | 8 tagsfrom 506 applications | 2022 Demand Report · p. 10 |
| 2021 | 24 | 311 | 13.0 | 11 | 7 tagsfrom 428 applications | 2021 Demand Report · p. 10 |
Other licenses valid in Hunt Area 45
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.