California Elk 420

La Panza Period 2 - General Methods - Bull in La Panza — Tule Elk Hunt, any legal weapon, Nov 8–30, 2025. 33% public land, mostly BLM.

Your odds at 0 points · 2025 draw

<1% Point builder

about 1 in 371

Years to draw on points: —

Tags
6
Applicants
371
Success
100%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 1 tag statewide. Success: Tule · 1 license hunter, 2022.

Points Needed to Draw

No cut was published in enough years to chart one.

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

What It Costs · 2025 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$227.94
If You Miss
$227.94
If You Draw
$2,053.79

The $8.13 Elk Tag Drawing Application is not refunded. The $219.81 nonresident hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $1,825.85 nonresident elk tag (paid only if drawn).

Opens
Apr 15, 2027
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Results
about Jun 15

Next application window: Open Apr 15 – Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until California Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Santa Maria La Panza
90%hunter success 2022 · 21 hunters, 19 elk
La Panza in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2025 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–22 ← you <1% 350 —
23 100% 5 —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 420 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2022

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Tule · 1 license 1 1 100%
Tule · 5 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) 5 5 100%
Tule · 6 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) 5 5 83%
Tule · 6 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) 5 5 83%
Tule · 5 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) 5 3 50%
All of La Panza · tule 21 19 90%

Adding up California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for La Panza gives 21 hunters and 19 tule taken in 2022, and 90% of them took an elk (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: CDFW 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics; CDFW 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 9 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2025 6 371 61.8 — 1 tag of 371 CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2024 6 445 74.2 — 1 tag of 445 CDFW 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 2
2023 6 467 77.8 — 1 tag of 467 CDFW 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 2
2022 6 658 109.7 — 1 tag of 658 CDFW 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2021 6 684 114 — 1 tag of 684 CDFW 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 2
2020 6 736 122.7 — 1 tag of 736 CDFW 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 3
2019 6 699 116.5 — 1 tag of 699 CDFW 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn Sheep, p. 1
2018 6 756 126 — 1 tag of 756 CDFW 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1
2017 6 710 118.3 — 1 tag of 710 CDFW 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1

Other Licenses Valid in La Panza

  • 385 La Panza - Archery - Bull Sep 1–30 · 5 tags · 98 applied 1% (small sample)
  • 386 La Panza - Archery - Antlerless Sep 1–30 · 5 tags · 16 applied 6% (small sample)
  • 417 La Panza Period 1 - General Methods - Antlerless Oct 11 – Nov 2 · 5 tags · 91 applied 1% (small sample)
  • 418 La Panza Period 2 - General Methods - Antlerless Nov 8–30 · 6 tags · 145 applied <1%
  • 419 La Panza Period 1 - General Methods - Bull Oct 11 – Nov 2 · 6 tags · 485 applied <1%
  • 464 La Panza Period 1 Apprentice - General Methods - AntlerlessYouth only Oct 11 – Nov 2 · 1 tag · 40 applied 3% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for California elk
▸ Sources 15
  1. CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · draw results, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. CDFW 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 2 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. CDFW 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 2 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. CDFW 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. CDFW 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 2 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. CDFW 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. CDFW 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn Sheep, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. CDFW 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. CDFW 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. CDFW 2026 Big Game Hunting Digest draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. CDFW 2025 Big Game Hunting Digest fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. CDFW 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. CDFW 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. CDFW 2023 Elk Hunt Zones boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. GreenInfo Network 2026 Protected Areas Database a land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check California Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All California elk hunts