California Elk 368 — Zone Independence
Independence Period 2 - General Methods - Antlerless · Independence - Owens Valley Tule Elk Hunt
- What you may take
- Independence Period 2 - General Methods - Antlerless
- Weapon
- Rifle
- Season (2025)
- Oct 4–12, 2025
- Tags (2025)
- 1
- for 94 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 1
- Tule success here (2022)
- 60%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2025 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 0 tags, 94 first-choice applicants. Source: 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 1.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1% | 11 | — |
| 1 | 1% | 6 | — |
| 2 | 1% | 5 | — |
| 3 | 1% | 5 | — |
| 4 | 1% | 5 | — |
| 5 | 1% | 5 | — |
| 6 | 1% | 5 | — |
| 7 | 1% | 10 | — |
| 8 | 1% | 4 | — |
| 9 | 1% | 6 | — |
| 10 | 1% | 3 | — |
| 11 | 1% | 4 | — |
| 12 | 1% | 4 | — |
| 13 | 1% | 6 | — |
| 14 | 1% | 3 | — |
| 15 | 1% | 0 | — |
| 16 | 1% | 3 | — |
| 17 | 1% | 1 | — |
| 18 | 1% | 0 | — |
| 19 | 1% | 2 | — |
| 20 | 1% | 2 | — |
| 21 | 1% | 1 | — |
| 22 | 1% | 3 | — |
| 23 | 1% | 0 | — |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2025 nonresident fees)
At the 2025 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $23,252.81 (enough points to draw) to $23,252.81 (lowest published odds).
Next application window: opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~June 15. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Seasons (2025)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Independence, California Department of Fish and Wildlife counted 5 hunters and 3 tule taken in 2022 — 60% of them killed something. Full Independence profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2022) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tule | 1 | 1 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 1 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Tule | 1 | 1 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 1 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Tule | 1 | 1 | 100% | — |
Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Random pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 94 | 94.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 94 applications | 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 128 | 128.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 128 applications | 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 144 | 144.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 144 applications | 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 171 | 171.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 171 applications | 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 184 | 184.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 184 applications | 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 196 | 196.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 196 applications | 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics... · p. 3 |
| 2019 | 1 | 101 | 101.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 101 applications | 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn... · p. 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 83 | 83.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 83 applications | 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 88 | 88.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 88 applications | 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1 |
Other licenses valid in Independence
Legal cartridges for elk in California
From the California hunting laws rules on file for a rifle. "Depends" means the rule turns on your specific load — check the state page.
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.