Arizona Elk 3816 — Unit 4A
Archery-Only | Bull elk | 04A
- What you may take
- Archery-Only | Bull elk | 04A (antlered)
- Weapon
- Archery
- Archery gear only — no rifle season on this license.
- Season (2025)
- Nov 7–20, 2025
- Tags (2026)
- 1
- for 0 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 10%
- Hunter success here (2025)
- 36%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
No first-choice applicants: 1 tag on offer in 2026 and nobody listed this hunt first. Anyone who had would have drawn.
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 1 tags, 0 first-choice applicants. Source: 2026 M Draw Report · p. 63.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | — | — |
| 1 | 63% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 63% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 63% | — | — |
| 4 | 63% | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 63% | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 63% | 0 | 0 |
| 7–10 | 63% the pool average — a floor for anyone holding points, since each point adds entries | — | — |
Unweighted tags ÷ applicants — state did not publish pools. Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes no per-level counts for this hunt; each point adds entries (points + 1), so the pool average is a floor for anyone holding points and an overstatement for a first-year applicant. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $930 (enough points to draw) to $930 (lowest published odds).
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $15 (Jan 13 – Feb 3, expected) and adds a point for next year's draw.
Next application window: opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~February 23. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Seasons (2025)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Unit 4A, Arizona Game & Fish Department counted 494 hunters and 179 elk taken in 2025 — 36% of them killed something. Full Unit 4A profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2025) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type Archery-Only Bull, Early | 90 | 30 | 33% | — |
| Type Archery-Only Bull, Early (Hopi) | 0 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type Archery-Only Bull, Late | 21 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type Archery-Only Bull, Late (Hopi) | — | — | — | — |
| Type Archery-Only Antlerless | 82 | 8 | 10% | — |
| Type Archery-Only Antlerless (Hopi) | 3 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type General Bull | 124 | 47 | 38% | — |
| Type General Bull (Hopi) | 5 | 3 | 60% | — |
| Type General Antlerless | 81 | 43 | 53% | — |
| Type General Antlerless (Hopi) | 3 | 2 | 67% | — |
| Type Youth-Only (General) | 85 | 46 | 54% | — |
| Type Youth-Only (General) (Hopi) | — | — | — | — |
Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | — | 2026 M Draw Report · p. 63 |
| 2025 | 0 | — | — | — | 2025 M Draw Report · p. 63 |
| 2024 | 0 | — | — | — | 2024 M Draw Report · p. 50 |
| 2023 | 0 | — | — | — | 2023 M Draw Report · p. 39 |
Other licenses valid in Unit 4A
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.