Alaska Mountain Goat DG478

08, South Road System in Unit 8, rifle only, Aug 20 – Oct 25, 2025.

No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

Your odds · 2025 draw

2% Same for everyone

about 1 in 42, every year you apply

Every applicant has the same chance each year: in 2025, 80 tags went to 3,360 first-choice applicants.

Points: none, same chance every year

NR Tags
80
Applicants
3,360
Success
52%

First-choice nonresidents. Success: all hunters in Unit 8, 2025.

Odds by Year, 2021–2025

odds (tags ÷ applicants) applicants per tag
2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4%
2021
37:1
2022
38:1
2023
39:1
2024
43:1
2025
42:1

Odds (tags ÷ applicants) ran from 2% to 3% across 2021–2025. Applicants per tag: 37:1 in 2021, 42:1 in 2025.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Dec 15 · 58 days
Cost to Apply
$165
If You Miss
$165
If You Draw
$765

The $5 drawing application fee, per hunt entry is not refunded. The $160 nonresident annual hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $600 nonresident goat locking-tag.

Opens
Nov 1, 2026
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
Results
about Feb 19

Next application window: Open Nov 1 – Dec 15, 2026 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Alaska Department of Fish and Game publishes 2026.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Kodiak Igiugig Homer Soldotna 8
52%hunter success 2025 · 481 hunters, 248 mountain goat
Unit 8 in full →

Details

Odds in This Draw · 2025 Draw

Who Chance Applied Drew
Everyone 2% — —

Tags ÷ applicants. As a lower choice, DG478 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
All of Unit 8 481 248 52%

Across every license type in Unit 8, Alaska Department of Fish and Game counted 481 hunters and 248 mountain goat taken in 2025, and 52% of them took a mountain goat. Alaska's figures come from mandatory harvest reports and sealing certificates rather than a hunter survey, so they are counts of animals reported, not estimates. Source: ADF&G 2025 Goat General Harvest Reports; ADF&G 2024 Goat General Harvest Reports.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Published Odds Source
2025 80 3,360 42 2% ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2024 80 3,452 43.2 2% ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2023 80 3,084 38.6 3% ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2022 80 3,009 37.6 3% ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2021 80 2,992 37.4 3% ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 8

  • DG471 08, Wild Creek - Center Mt. Aug 20 – Oct 25 · 35 tags · 546 applied 6%
  • DG472 08, Crown Mt Aug 20 – Oct 25 · 12 tags · 316 applied 4%
  • DG473 08, Hidden Basin - East Terror Lake Aug 20 – Oct 25 · 12 tags · 480 applied 3%
  • DG474 08, Uganik River Aug 20 – Oct 25 · 70 tags · 699 applied 10%
  • DG476 08, Kiliuda Bay Aug 20 – Oct 25 · 50 tags · 457 applied 11%
  • DG479 08, North Road System Aug 20 – Oct 25 · 50 tags · 2,364 applied 2%

Odds for a first-choice nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Alaska mountain goat
▸ Sources 14
  1. ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · draw results, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. ADF&G 2026 How Does the Random Drawing Work draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. ADF&G 2026 Drawing Hunt Information fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. ADF&G 2026 License, Stamp and Tag Prices fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ADF&G 2025 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ADF&G 2024 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ADF&G 2023 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ADF&G 2022 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ADF&G 2021 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. ADF&G 2026 Game Management Unit and Subunit… boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's published results (tags ÷ applicants). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Alaska Department of Fish and Game's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Alaska mountain goat hunts