AmmoSight

Alaska Brown Bear DB139

Kodiak: Dog Salmon River (spring season, guided nonresidents) in Unit 8, rifle only, Apr 1 – May 15, 2026.

No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

Your odds · 2025 draw

100% (small sample) Undersubscribed

3 first-choice applicants for 3 tags

3 first-choice applicants for 3 tags in 2025, so every first-choice applicant drew. The 100% reflects low demand that year, and a code like this can flip the year demand catches up.

Points: none, same chance every year

NR Tags
3
Applicants
3
Success
45%

First-choice nonresidents. Success: Drawing hunters, 2025.

Odds by Year

Undersubscribed every year on file: 1–3 first-choice applicants for 3 tags, 2021–2025.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Dec 15 · 58 days
Cost to Apply
$165
If You Miss
$165
If You Draw
$1,165

The $5 drawing application fee, per hunt entry is not refunded. The $160 nonresident annual hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $1,000 nonresident brown/grizzly bear locking-tag.

Opens
Nov 1, 2026
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
Results
about Feb 19

Next application window: Open Nov 1 – Dec 15, 2026 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Alaska Department of Fish and Game publishes 2026.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Kodiak Igiugig Homer Soldotna 8
45%hunter success 2025 · 299 hunters, 134 brown bear
Unit 8 in full →

Details

Odds in This Draw · 2025 Draw

Who Chance Applied Drew
Everyone 100% (small sample) — —

Fewer applicants than tags. As a lower choice, DB139 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Drawing 299 134 45%
All of Unit 8 299 134 45%

Adding up Alaska Department of Fish and Game's published lines for Unit 8 gives 299 hunters and 134 brown bear taken in 2025, and 45% of them took a brown bear (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Alaska's figures come from mandatory harvest reports and sealing certificates rather than a hunter survey, so they are counts of animals reported, not estimates. Source: ADF&G 2025 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics; ADF&G 2024 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Published Odds Source
2025 3 3 1 100% ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2024 3 1 0.3 100% ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2023 3 3 1 100% ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2022 3 2 0.7 100% ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2021 3 3 1 100% ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 8

  • DB101 08, Kizhuyak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB102 08, West Ugak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 4 tags · 11 applied 36% (small sample)
  • DB103 08, South Ugak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 4 tags · 17 applied 24% (small sample)
  • DB104 08, Kiliuda Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 8 applied 38% (small sample)
  • DB105 08, Three Saints & Barling Bays (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 6 applied 50% (small sample)
  • DB106 08, Kaiugnak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · no first-choice applicants 100% (small sample)
  • DB107 08, Aliulik Peninsula (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 6 applied 33% (small sample)
  • DB108 08, Deadman Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · no first-choice applicants 100% (small sample)
  • DB109 08, Dog Salmon River (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 7 applied 14% (small sample)
  • DB110 08, South Olga Lakes (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · no first-choice applicants 100% (small sample)
  • DB111 08, Red Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB112 08, Frazer Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 15 applied 7% (small sample)
  • DB113 08, Karluk Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 6 applied 17% (small sample)
  • DB114 08, Halibut Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 8 applied 25% (small sample)
  • DB115 08, Sturgeon River (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB116 08, North Karluk River (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 6 applied 33% (small sample)
  • DB117 08, North Uyak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB118 08, South Uyak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB119 08, Zachar Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB120 08, South Spiridon Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 7 applied 14% (small sample)
  • DB121 08, Spiridon Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB122 08, Uganik Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB124 08, Uganik Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB126 08, Kupreanof Peninsula (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB127 08, Sharatin Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB128 08, Wild Creek (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 8 applied 25% (small sample)
  • DB131 Kodiak: Kizhuyak Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 1 tag · no first-choice applicants 100% (small sample)
  • DB132 Kodiak: West Ugak Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 13 applied 23% (small sample)
  • DB133 Kodiak: South Ugak Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 9 applied 33% (small sample)
  • DB134 Kodiak: bear hunters on their lands. Areas subject to these…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 10 applied 30% (small sample)
  • DB135 Kodiak: Hunters are strongly encouraged to check on guide…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB136 Kodiak: licensed guides registered for particular hunt areas may…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · no first-choice applicants 100% (small sample)
  • DB137 Kodiak: Aliulik Peninsula (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 6 applied 67% (small sample)
  • DB138 Kodiak: Deadman Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · no first-choice applicants 100% (small sample)
  • DB140 Kodiak: South Olga Lakes (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 9 applied 33% (small sample)
  • DB141 Kodiak: Red Lake (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 10 applied 40% (small sample)
  • DB142 Kodiak: bear Drawing permit for the remainder of the regulatory…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB143 Kodiak: the deadline. If a successful applicant cancels their…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 7 applied 43% (small sample)
  • DB144 Kodiak: will choose an alternate for that permit from the alternate…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB145 Kodiak: Sturgeon River (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB146 Kodiak: North Karluk River (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 4 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB147 Kodiak: North Uyak Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB148 Kodiak: South Uyak Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 4 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB149 Kodiak: Zachar Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB150 Kodiak: verification code (obtained by the guide from Big Game…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB151 Kodiak: Spiridon Lake (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB152 Kodiak: Uganik Bay (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB154 Kodiak: Uganik Lake (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB156 Kodiak: Kupreanof Peninsula (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 3 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB157 Kodiak: in Kodiak in person Before the start of the season. No…Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB158 Kodiak: Wild Creek (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 3 applied 100% (small sample)
  • DB161 08, East Afognak and Marmot Islands (fall season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 23 applied 13% (small sample)
  • DB191 Kodiak: start of the season. (spring season, guided nonresidents)Guide required Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 18 applied 28%
  • DB201 08, Kizhuyak Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 70 applied 4% (small sample)
  • DB202 08, West Ugak Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 5 tags · 86 applied 6%
  • DB203 08, South Ugak Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 5 tags · 342 applied 1%
  • DB204 08, Kiliuda Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 4 tags · 181 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB205 08, Three Saints & Barling Bays (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 4 tags · 316 applied 1% (small sample)
  • DB206 08, Kaiugnak Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 286 applied 1% (small sample)
  • DB207 08, Aliulik Peninsula (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 693 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB208 08, Deadman Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 451 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB209 08, Dog Salmon River (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 169 applied 1% (small sample)
  • DB210 08, South Olga Lakes (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 198 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB211 08, Red Lake (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 876 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB212 08, Frazer Lake (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 401 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB213 08, Karluk Lake (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 548 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB214 08, Halibut Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 1 tag · 214 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB215 08, Sturgeon River (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 95 applied 3% (small sample)
  • DB216 08, North Karluk River (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 117 applied 3% (small sample)
  • DB217 08, North Uyak Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 144 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB218 08, South Uyak Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 102 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB219 08, Zachar Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 234 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB220 08, South Spiridon Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 2 tags · 103 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB221 08, Spiridon Lake (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 362 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DB222 08, Uganik Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 134 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB224 08, Uganik Lake (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 3 tags · 199 applied 2% (small sample)
  • DB226 08, Kupreanof Peninsula (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 6 tags · 376 applied 2%
  • DB227 08, Sharatin Bay (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 7 tags · 136 applied 5%
  • DB228 08, Wild Creek (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 7 tags · 283 applied 2%
  • DB231 08, Kizhuyak Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 32 applied 13% (small sample)
  • DB232 08, West Ugak Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 65 applied 6% (small sample)
  • DB233 08, South Ugak Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 204 applied 2%
  • DB234 08, Kiliuda Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 83 applied 6%
  • DB235 08, Three Saints & Barling Bays (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 125 applied 4%
  • DB236 08, Kaiugnak Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 159 applied 3%
  • DB237 08, Aliulik Peninsula (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 487 applied 1%
  • DB238 08, Deadman Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 6 tags · 273 applied 2%
  • DB239 08, Dog Salmon River (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 58 applied 9%
  • DB240 08, South Olga Lakes (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 101 applied 5%
  • DB241 08, Red Lake (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 162 applied 3%
  • DB242 08, Frazer Lake (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 360 applied 1%
  • DB243 08, Karluk Lake (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 4 tags · 160 applied 3% (small sample)
  • DB244 08, Halibut Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 72 applied 7%
  • DB245 08, Sturgeon River (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 41 applied 12%
  • DB246 08, North Karluk River (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 6 tags · 67 applied 9%
  • DB247 08, North Uyak Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 77 applied 6%
  • DB248 08, South Uyak Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 6 tags · 145 applied 4%
  • DB249 08, Zachar Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 67 applied 7%
  • DB250 08, South Spiridon Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 97 applied 5%
  • DB251 08, Spiridon Lake (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 5 tags · 133 applied 4%
  • DB252 08, Uganik Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 6 tags · 80 applied 8%
  • DB254 08, Uganik Lake (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 6 tags · 57 applied 11%
  • DB256 08, Kupreanof Peninsula (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 6 tags · 132 applied 5%
  • DB257 08, Sharatin Bay (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 15 tags · 138 applied 11%
  • DB258 08, Wild Creek (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 15 tags · 84 applied 18%
  • DB261 08, East Afognak and Marmot Islands (fall season) Oct 25 – Nov 30 · 7 tags · 338 applied 2%
  • DB291 08, East Afognak and Marmot Island (spring season) Apr 1 – May 15 · 17 tags · 158 applied 11%

Odds for a first-choice nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Alaska brown bear

23 cartridges on file are legal for brown bear with a rifle in Alaska. Rules and sources: Alaska hunting laws.

.22-250 Remington from $0.98/rd .223 Remington from $0.43/rd .243 Winchester from $1.11/rd .25-06 Remington from $1.82/rd 6.5 Creedmoor from $1.01/rd 6.5 Grendel from $0.72/rd .270 Winchester from $0.15/rd 7mm-08 Remington from $1.84/rd 7mm Remington Magnum from $2.05/rd .30-06 Springfield from $1.11/rd .300 AAC Blackout from $0.60/rd .300 Winchester Magnum from $1.25/rd .30-30 Winchester from $1.08/rd .308 Winchester from $0.82/rd .338 Winchester Magnum from $2.61/rd .350 Legend from $1.12/rd .35 Whelen .360 Buckhammer .400 Legend .444 Marlin .450 Bushmaster from $2.02/rd .45-70 Government from $1.97/rd .50 Beowulf
▸ Sources 14
  1. ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · draw results, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. ADF&G 2026 How Does the Random Drawing Work draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. ADF&G 2026 Drawing Hunt Information fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. ADF&G 2026 License, Stamp and Tag Prices fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ADF&G 2025 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ADF&G 2024 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ADF&G 2023 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ADF&G 2022 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ADF&G 2021 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. ADF&G 2026 Game Management Unit and Subunit… boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's published results (fewer applicants than tags). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Alaska Department of Fish and Game's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Alaska brown bear hunts