Wyoming Elk 16-2

Any elk in Hunt Area 16 — Shirley Mountain, any legal weapon, Nov 1–30, 2026, Dec 1 – Jan 31, 2027. 55% public land, mostly BLM. Type 2.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

<1% Below the cut

about 1 in 140, from the random pass

You're 18 points below the 2026 cut of 18, which has risen from 13 to 18 points since 2021.

Years to draw on points: 30+ yrs

NR Tags
12
Applicants
430
Success
69%

First-choice nonresidents, regular draw. Success: Type 2 hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2021–2026

points needed applicants per tag
13 16 15 17 18 18 you: 0 pts, below the chart ↓
2021
7:1
2022
67:1
2023
20:1
2024
27:1
2025
51:1
2026
36:1

The cut has risen from 13 to 18 points since 2021. Applicants per tag: 6.5:1 in 2021, 36:1 in 2026.

Point creep: drew out at 16 → 15 → 17 → 18 → 18 points (2022–2026), +0.5 points/yr (range +0.0 to +2.0). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Feb 1 · 106 days
Cost to Apply
$707
If You Miss
$15
If You Draw
$728.50

The $15 nonresident big game application fee (per species applied for) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $21.50 conservation stamp (annual; required with any hunting license). The $692 nonresident elk license (regular), includes fishing privileges is refunded if you miss. A nonresident elk preference point is $52, bought separately.

Opens
Jan 2, 2027
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Results
about May 20
Point Only
$52, Jul 1 – Nov 1

Next application window: Open Jan 2 – Feb 1, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Wyoming Game and Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Hanna Mills Saratoga Douglas 16
57%hunter success 2025 · 990 hunters, 562 elk
Private 45% BLM 45% State 7% Other public 3% Hunt Area 16 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–17 ← you <1% counted in one band: 17 points or fewer 419 0
18 50% 4 2
19 100% 5 5
20–21 100% — —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Wyoming Game and Fish Department did not publish a count for that level: it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 16-2 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 3, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

Seasons, 2026

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Type 2 102 70 69%
All of Hunt Area 16 990 562 57%

Across every license type in Hunt Area 16, Wyoming Game and Fish Department counted 990 hunters and 562 elk taken in 2025, and 57% of them took an elk. The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Wyoming's figures are estimates from a voluntary post-season survey of license holders, extrapolated to every license issued — not a count of animals checked in. Source: WGFD 2025 Elk Harvest Report; WGFD 2024 Elk Harvest Report.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 6 draws

The regular draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Wyoming runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2026 12 430 35.8 18 3 tags of 522 WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 3
2025 9 459 51 18 2 tags of 538 WGFD 2025 Demand Report, p. 3
2024 7 191 27.3 17 1 tag of 269 WGFD 2024 Demand Report, p. 3
2023 7 139 19.9 15 1 tag of 226 WGFD 2023 Demand Report, p. 3
2022 4 266 66.5 16 1 tag of 342 WGFD 2022 Demand Report, p. 3
2021 6 39 6.5 13 1 tag of 103 WGFD 2021 Demand Report, p. 3

Other Licenses Valid in Hunt Area 16

  • 16-1 Any elk Oct 1–31 · 14 tags · cut 18 <1%
  • 16-4 Antlerless elk valid on private landPrivate land only — you need landowner access Aug 15 – Sep 30 · 40 tags · cut 0 60%
  • 16-6 Cow or calf valid on private landPrivate land only — you need landowner access Aug 15 – Sep 30 · Reduced price · 48 tags · 212 applied 23%
  • 16-7 Cow or calf Dec 1 – Jan 31 · Reduced price · 32 tags · 70 applied 46%

Odds at your points, nonresident, regular class where offered. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 21 on file for Wyoming elk
▸ Sources 16
  1. WGFD 2026 Demand Report, p. 3 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. WGFD 2025 Demand Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. WGFD 2024 Demand Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. WGFD 2023 Demand Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. WGFD 2022 Demand Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. WGFD 2021 Demand Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. WGFD 2026 Game and Fish Commission Chapter 44 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. WGFD 2026 License Fee List fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  9. Wyoming Game and Fish Commission 2026 Chapter 7, p. 3 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  10. WGFD 2025 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  11. WGFD 2024 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  12. WGFD 2023 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  13. WGFD 2022 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  14. WGFD 2021 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  15. WGFD 2026 Elk Hunt Areas boundary, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  16. U.S. Bureau of Land Management, Wyoming State Office 2026 BLM WY Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  17. wy_blm_sma_2026 map shading

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Wyoming Game and Fish Department's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Wyoming Game and Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Wyoming Game and Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Wyoming elk hunts