AmmoSight

Oregon Elk 252T2

Glass Hill Youth in Unit 52 — Starkey, rifle only, Nov 21 – Dec 31, 2026. 64% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

<1% (small sample) Below the cut

about 1 in 220, from the random pass

You're 16 points below the 2026 cut of 16, which has risen from 14 to 16 points since 2022.

Years to draw on points: 30+ yrs

Tags
3
Nonresident Applicants
16
Success
33%

First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 5%. Success: 252a1 starkey no. 1 hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2022–2026

points needed applicants per tag
14 16 16 15 16 you: 0 pts, below the chart ↓
2022
73:1
2023
70:1
2024
82:1
2025
76:1
2026
74:1

The cut has risen from 14 to 16 points since 2022. Applicants per tag: 73:1 in 2022, 74:1 in 2026.

Point creep: drew out at 14 → 16 → 16 → 15 → 16 points (2022–2026), +0.5 points/yr (range +0.0 to +2.0). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes May 15 · 208 days
Cost to Apply
$203
If You Miss
$203
If You Draw
$863

The $10 controlled hunt application (per hunt series; also the Point Saver price) is not refunded. The $193 nonresident annual hunting license (required to apply) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $660 nonresident controlled elk tag (paid only if drawn; sale by June 20 to day before season).

Opens
Dec 1, 2026
Closes
May 15, 2027
Results
about Jun 12

Next application window: Open Dec 1, 2026 – May 15, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
La Grande Baker City 52
21%hunter success 2025 · 3,348 hunters, 694 elk
Unit 52 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–15 ← you <1% (small sample) — —
16–19 100% (small sample) — —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 252T2 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
252a1 starkey no. 1 341 114 33%
252a2 starkey no. 2 497 56 11%
252b1 starkey private 265 112 42%
252b2 starkey 327 97 30%
252c1 starkey experimental forest no. 1 16 1 8%
252c2 starkey experimental forest no. 2 15 9 58%
252t1 starkey youth 26 18 70%
252t2 glass hill youth 6 3 50%
Rocky mtn 2nd season 808 76 9%
200r oregon youth bow 20 5 25%
252r starkey unit bow 1,027 203 20%
All of Unit 52 3,348 694 21%

Adding up Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Unit 52 gives 3,348 hunters and 694 elk taken in 2025, and 21% of them took an elk (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in. Source: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest…; ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags (All Res.) Nonresident Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2026 3 16 74 16 1 tag ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report
2025 3 22 75.7 15 1 tag ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report
2024 3 17 81.7 16 1 tag ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report
2023 3 16 70 16 1 tag ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report
2022 3 12 73.3 14 1 tag ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 52

  • 252A1 Starkey No. 1 Oct 28 – Nov 1 · 385 tags · cut 7 5%
  • 252A2 Starkey No. 2 Oct 28 – Nov 1 · 990 tags · cut 0 100%
  • 252B Starkey Unit PrivatePrivate land only — you need landowner access Nov 19–27 · 220 tags · cut 0 100%
  • 252B1 Starkey PrivatePrivate land only — you need landowner access Nov 2 – Dec 13 · 440 tags · cut 0 100%
  • 252B2 Starkey Nov 21–29 · 440 tags · cut 1 31%
  • 252C1 Starkey Experimental Forest No. 1 Oct 31 – Nov 8 · 17 tags · cut 5 6%
  • 252C2 Starkey Experimental Forest No. 2 Sep 19–27 · 17 tags · cut 27 <1%
  • 252R Starkey Bow Aug 29 – Sep 27 · 1,300 tags · cut 0 100%
  • 252T1 Starkey YouthYouth only Aug 15 – Dec 31 · 30 tags · cut 8 8%

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 21 on file for Oregon elk
▸ Sources 19
  1. ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. ODFW 2026 OAR chapter 635 division 060 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ODFW 2024 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ODFW 2024 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ODFW 2023 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ODFW 2023 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. ODFW 2022 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. ODFW 2022 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  16. ODFW 2021 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  17. ODFW 2021 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  18. ODFW 2026 Wildlife Management Unit boundaries boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  19. Bureau of Land Management, Oregon State Office 2026 BLM /Washington Land Status Ownership land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · All Oregon elk hunts