AmmoSight

Alaska Mountain Goat DG858

14C, Bird Creek in Unit 14C, rifle only, Sep 1 – Oct 15, 2025.

No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

Your odds · 2025 draw

<1% (small sample) Same for everyone

about 1 in 260, every year you apply

Every applicant has the same chance each year: in 2025, 4 tags went to 1,041 first-choice applicants.

Points: none, same chance every year

NR Tags
4
Applicants
1,041
Success
45%

First-choice nonresidents. Success: all hunters in Unit 14C, 2025.

Odds by Year, 2021–2025

odds (tags ÷ applicants) applicants per tag
0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
2021
232:1
2022
237:1
2023
264:1
2024
252:1
2025
260:1

Odds (tags ÷ applicants) ran from <1% to <1% across 2021–2025. Applicants per tag: 232:1 in 2021, 260:1 in 2025.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Dec 15 · 58 days
Cost to Apply
$165
If You Miss
$165
If You Draw
$765

The $5 drawing application fee, per hunt entry is not refunded. The $160 nonresident annual hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $600 nonresident goat locking-tag.

Opens
Nov 1, 2026
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
Results
about Feb 19

Next application window: Open Nov 1 – Dec 15, 2026 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Alaska Department of Fish and Game publishes 2026.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Palmer Soldotna 14C
45%hunter success 2025 · 42 hunters, 19 mountain goat
Unit 14C in full →

Details

Odds in This Draw · 2025 Draw

Who Chance Applied Drew
Everyone <1% (small sample) — —

Tags ÷ applicants. As a lower choice, DG858 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
All of Unit 14C 42 19 45%

Across every license type in Unit 14C, Alaska Department of Fish and Game counted 42 hunters and 19 mountain goat taken in 2025, and 45% of them took a mountain goat. Alaska's figures come from mandatory harvest reports and sealing certificates rather than a hunter survey, so they are counts of animals reported, not estimates. Source: ADF&G 2025 Goat General Harvest Reports; ADF&G 2024 Goat General Harvest Reports.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Source
2025 4 1,041 260.3 ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2024 4 1,008 252 ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2023 4 1,056 264 ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2022 4 948 237 ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2021 4 926 231.5 ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 14C

  • DG852 14C, East Fork Eklutna Sep 1–30 · 3 tags · 1,389 applied <1% (small sample)
  • DG854 14C, Upper Eagle River Sep 1 – Oct 15 · 10 tags · 1,962 applied <1%
  • DG856 14C, Glacier Creek Sep 1 – Oct 15 · 5 tags · 399 applied 1%
  • DG889 14C, Non-Resident Lake George Mountain Goat Hunt Sep 1 – Oct 15 · 7 tags · 355 applied 2%

Odds for a first-choice nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Alaska mountain goat
▸ Sources 14
  1. ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · draw results, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. ADF&G 2026 How Does the Random Drawing Work draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. ADF&G 2026 Drawing Hunt Information fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. ADF&G 2026 License, Stamp and Tag Prices fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ADF&G 2025 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ADF&G 2024 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ADF&G 2023 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ADF&G 2022 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ADF&G 2021 Goat General Harvest Reports harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. ADF&G 2026 Game Management Unit and Subunit… boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's published results (tags ÷ applicants). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

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Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Alaska Department of Fish and Game's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's results, not a forecast · All Alaska mountain goat hunts