Montana Elk 447-21 — Hunting District 447, Permit
Elk Permit 447-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY]
- What you may take
- Elk Permit 447-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY] (any)
- Weapon
- Archery
- Archery gear only — no rifle season on this license.
- Season (2026)
- Sep 5 – Oct 18, 2026
- Tags (2026)
- 40
- for 71 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 10%
Showing nonresident results (Standard class). Switch to resident · Standard Landowner
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 40 tags, 71 first-choice applicants. Source: 2026 Elk Permit Drawing... · p. 1.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 9 | 9 |
| 1 | 35% | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | 65% | 19 | 19 |
| 3 | 88% | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | 97% | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | >99% | 2 | 2 |
| 6 | >99% | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | >99% | 2 | 2 |
| 8–10 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
Optional, not counted above: Bonus point only (no application) (July 1 - Sept 30, per species) $25.
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $20 (Jul 1 – Sep 30, expected) and adds a point for next year's draw.
Next application window: opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~April 15. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Seasons (2026)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Hunting District 447, Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks counted 277 elk taken in 2025. Full Hunting District 447 profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Montana's figures blend mandatory reporting with a phone and mail survey. FWP does not publish district-level hunter counts for elk or antelope, so success rates are missing for those. Source: 2025 Elk Harvest Estimates (MyFWP Harvest Estimates Search, District=ALL) 2024 Elk Harvest Estimates (MyFWP Harvest Estimates Search, District=ALL)
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 71 | 1.8 | — | 2026 Elk Permit Drawing... · p. 1 |
| 2025 | 40 | 91 | 2.3 | — | 2025 Elk Permit Drawing... · p. 1 |
| 2024 | 40 | 84 | 2.1 | — | 2024 Elk Permit Drawing... · p. 1 |
Earlier years, when this number was a different hunt
Montana reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 447-21 stood for another hunting district or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.
| Year · what it was | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 · Hunting District 447, rifle | 40 | 49 | 1.2 | — | 2023 Elk Permit Drawing... · p. 1 |
| 2022 · Hunting District 447, rifle | 40 | 35 | 0.9 | — | 2022 Elk Permit Drawing... · sheet1 |
Other licenses valid in Hunting District 447
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.