California Deer M6
San Diego Muzzleloading Rifle Either - Sex, muzzleloader only, Dec 20–31, 2025.
Your odds at 0 points · 2025 draw
75 first-choice applicants (all residencies) for 80 tags (all residencies)
75 first-choice applicants for 80 tags (all residencies) in 2025, so every first-choice applicant drew and 5 tags went to the leftover draw. The 100% reflects low demand that year, and a code like this can flip the year demand catches up.
Years to draw on points: —
- Tags
- 80
- Applicants
- 75
- Success
- —
First-choice nonresidents.
Points Needed to Draw
No cut was published in enough years to chart one.
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
What It Costs · 2025 NR Fees
Closes Jun 2 · 228 daysThe $219.81 nonresident hunting license is not refunded. The $368.20 nonresident First-Deer Tag Drawing Application (full tag price fronted at application) is not refunded.
- Opens
- Apr 15, 2027
- Closes
- Jun 2, 2027
- Results
- about Jun 15
Next application window: Open Apr 15 – Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until California Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Nonresident hunting license · paid at application $219.81 CDFW 2025 Big Game Hunting Digest
- Nonresident First-Deer Tag Drawing Application (full tag price fronted at application) · paid at application $368.20 CDFW 2025 Big Game Hunting Digest
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2025 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ← you | 100% plus 3 party applications averaging under 1 point | 60 | — |
| 1 | 100% | 8 | — |
| 2 | 100% | 2 | — |
| 3 | 100% | 1 | — |
| 4 | 100% | 1 | — |
| 5 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 6 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 7 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 8 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 9 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 10 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 11 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 12 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 13 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 14 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 15 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 16 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 17 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 18 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 19 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 20 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 21 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 22 | 100% | 0 | — |
| 23 | 100% | 0 | — |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level: it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, M6 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.
Draw results: CDFW 2025 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 9 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Random Pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 80 | 75 | 0.9 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2025 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2024 | 80 | 82 | 1 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2024 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2023 | 80 | 74 | 0.9 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2023 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2022 | 80 | 84 | 1.1 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2022 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2021 | 80 | 86 | 1.1 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2021 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2020 | 80 | 107 | 1.3 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2020 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 4 |
| 2019 | 80 | 87 | 1.1 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2019 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2018 | 80 | 97 | 1.2 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2018 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
| 2017 | 80 | 103 | 1.3 | — | 8 tags | CDFW 2017 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 |
▸ Sources 11
- CDFW 2025 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · draw results, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2024 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2023 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2022 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2021 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2020 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 4 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2019 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2018 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2017 Deer Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2026 Big Game Hunting Digest draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- CDFW 2025 Big Game Hunting Digest fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.
Report an error on this page
We don't take applications: check California Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All California deer hunts