California Deer — Zone X12

California Zone X12 covers 659,892 acres and lies 103 miles north-east of Modesto. 87% of it is public land, mostly national forest (56%) and BLM (27%). In 2025, hunters took 193 deer here. The 2025 draw put up 349 tags here for 4,023 first-choice applicants.

Tags (2025):389 Applicants:4,260 Hunter success (2025):59% Public land:87% Size:659,892 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every deer license type on offer in Zone X12, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

2 licenses on offer · 389 tags · 4,260 applicants in the 2025 draw

Chances are from the 2025 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • A20 Archery Hunt In Zone X12 - Buck 40 tags · 237 applicants
    2% Point builder
  • X12 Zone X12 General Season - Buck 349 tags · 4,023 applicants
    <1% Point builder
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2025 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Per application $588.01 $588.01 $588.01

Application window: opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Clovis Modesto Roseville Bakersfield Palmdale
Zone X12 within California
D6 X8 X9A
Zone X12 and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Who owns the ground

  • National Forest 369,951 ac · 56%
  • BLM 178,408 ac · 27%
  • State land 22,399 ac · 3%
  • Other public 5,062 ac · 1%
  • County or city land 850 ac · 0%
  • National Park Service 4 ac · 0%
  • Private or other non-public land 83,216 ac · 13%

Source: California Protected Areas Database (CPAD) 2026a -- Holdings by Agency Classification

How the hunting has gone

What California Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast.

Season Harvest Success
2025 193 59%
2024 130 40%
2023 116 35%
2022 142 41%
2021 144 45%

Boundary: Deer Hunt Zones - Title 14, Section 360 [ds342]

Harvest: 2025 California Deer Harvest Statistics

Harvest: 2024 California Deer Harvest Statistics

Harvest: 2023 California Deer Harvest Statistics

How we compute draw odds · All California deer hunts