Arizona Antelope (Pronghorn) — Unit 21

Arizona Unit 21 covers 700,845 acres and lies 22 miles north of Cave Creek and 32 miles north of Scottsdale. 93% of it is public land, mostly national forest (78%) and BLM (11%). In 2025, 2 people hunted pronghorn here and took 2 — 100% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 1 tag here for 16 first-choice applicants.

Tags (2026):1 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:21 Hunter success (2025):100% Public land:93% Size:700,845 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every pronghorn license type on offer in Unit 21, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

2 licenses on offer · 1 tags · 21 applicants in the 2026 draw

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 2025 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | Pronghorn Hunts 21 1 tags · 16 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2057 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 151/643) 21 0 tags · 5 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
Arizona lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Per application $175 $175 $725

Application window: opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Cave Creek Camp Verde Mesa Flagstaff Casa Grande
Unit 21 within Arizona
17A 17B 18B 19A 19B 3C 4A 4B 5A 5B 6A 6BN 6BS Cave Creek Camp Verde Scottsdale Payson Cottonwood
Unit 21 and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Who owns the ground

  • National Forest 546,766 ac · 78%
  • BLM 78,499 ac · 11%
  • Private 46,380 ac · 7%
  • State trust land 28,873 ac · 4%
  • Tribal 132 ac · 0%
  • Other public 81 ac · 0%
  • County or city land 59 ac · 0%
  • State land 50 ac · 0%

Source: BLM AZ Surface Management Agency (Polygon)

How the hunting has gone

What Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in.

Season Hunters Harvest Success
2025 2 2 100%
2024 3 3 100%
2019 9 7 78%
2018 0
2017 18 8 44%

What people carried (2025 harvest)

  • Firearm 2 · 100% · 2 hunters, 100% success
  • Archery 0 · 0%

What the agency says about the area

Unit 21 – Beginning on I-17 at the Verde River; southerly on the southbound lane of I-17 to the New River Rd. (Exit 232); east on New River Rd. to Fig Springs Rd.; northeasterly on Fig Springs Rd. to Mingus Rd.; Mingus Rd. to the Tonto National Forest boundary; southeasterly along this boundary to the Verde River; north along the Verde River to I-17.

Source: Arizona Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book (July 23, 2026 edition; A.R.S. Title 17 + A.A.C. Title 12, Chapter 4)

Boundary: AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units (AZGFD ArcGIS feature service, layer 0)

Harvest: 2025 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary

Harvest: 2024 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary

Harvest: 2019 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary

How we compute draw odds · All Arizona pronghorn hunts