Arizona Deer 1194 — Unit 33
MUZZLELOADER DEER | Antlered whitetail deer | 33
- What you may take
- MUZZLELOADER DEER | Antlered whitetail deer | 33
- Weapon
- Muzzleloader
- Season (2026)
- Nov 13–19, 2026
- Tags (2026)
- 27
- for 20 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 10%
- All deer success here (2025)
- 26%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
Undersubscribed: 20 of 27 tags claimed by first-choice nonresident applicants in 2026. Everyone who applied drew and the rest went to the leftover draw — the 100% reflects low demand, not a great tag. A code like this can flip the year demand catches up.
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 27 tags, 20 first-choice applicants, drew out at 1 points. Source: 2026 F Draw Report · p. 44.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 10 | 11 |
| 1 | 100% | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 100% | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 5–10 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
Computed from the agency's published draw results. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $475 (enough points to draw) .
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $15 and keeps you moving toward the 1-point cut.
Next application window: closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.
Seasons (2026)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Unit 33, Arizona Game & Fish Department counted 2,718 hunters and 715 all deer taken in 2025 — 26% of them killed something. Full Unit 33 profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2025) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type General | 169 | 41 | 24% | — |
| Mule deer | — | 41 | — | — |
| Type General | 167 | 83 | 50% | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 83 | — | — |
| Type General | 250 | 104 | 42% | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 102 | — | — |
| Type General | 249 | 111 | 45% | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 111 | — | — |
| Type General | 62 | 37 | 60% | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 37 | — | — |
| Type Youth-Only (General) | 173 | 114 | 66% | — |
| Mule deer | — | 27 | — | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 86 | — | — |
| Type Youth-Only (General) | 168 | 83 | 49% | — |
| Mule deer | — | 16 | — | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 67 | — | — |
| Type Muzzleloader | 253 | 85 | 34% | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 85 | — | — |
| Type OTC Archery | 1,227 | 57 | 9% | — |
| Mule deer | — | 11 | — | — |
| White-tailed deer | — | 46 | — | — |
Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary (draw hunts only) 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer Harvest Summary
As a lower choice
Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Published odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 20 | 0.7 | 1 | 100% | 2026 F Draw Report · p. 44 |
Earlier years, when this number was a different hunt
Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 1194 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.
| Year · what it was | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · Unit 34A | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 2025 Fall Draw Report · p. 44 |
| 2024 · Unit 36A | 7 | 8 | 1.1 | 2 | 2024 F Draw Report · p. 23 |
| 2023 · Unit 3A, 3C, archery | 6 | 73 | 12.2 | 10 | 2023 F Draw Report · p. 31 |
Other licenses valid in Unit 33
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.