Arizona Elk 3132

Antlered elk, archery in 5BN, archery only, Sep 11–24, 2026. 77% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

<1% Below the cut

about 1 in 138

You're 17 points below the 2026 cut of 17, which has risen one point a year since 2025.

Years to draw on points: —

NR Tags
16
Applicants
214
Success
29%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: Archery-only bull, early hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2025–2026

points needed applicants per tag
16 17 you: 0 pts, below the chart ↓
2025
13:1
2026
13:1

The cut has risen one point a year since 2025. Applicants per tag: 13:1 in 2025, 13:1 in 2026.

Insufficient history (2 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Feb 3 · 108 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$825

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $650 nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
Jan 13, 2027
Closes
Feb 3, 2027
Results
about Feb 23
Point Only
$15, Jan 13 – Feb 3

Next application window: Open Jan 13 – Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Flagstaff Sedona Cottonwood Camp Verde 5BN
40%hunter success 2025 · 492 hunters, 195 elk
5BN in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you <1% 29 0
1 1% 18 0
2 2% 29 1
3 3% 21 0
4 4% 15 0
5 4% 18 0
6 5% 11 1
7 6% 12 2
8 6% 15 0
9 7% 14 1
10 8% 4 1
11 8% 8 0
12 9% 8 1
13 10% 4 0
14–20 100% 8 9

Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 46, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
2%

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Archery-only bull, early 154 45 29%
Archery-only bull, early (hopi) 7 0 0%
Archery-only bull, late 39 0 0%
Archery-only bull, late (hopi) 2 0 0%
Archery-only antlerless 21 4 19%
Archery-only antlerless (hopi) — — —
General antlerless 168 91 54%
General antlerless (hopi) 7 5 71%
Limited opportunity antlerless (twin arrows hunt area) · 24 licenses 21 8 38%
Limited opportunity antlerless (twin arrows hunt area) · 25 licenses 25 10 40%
Limited opportunity antlerless (hopi: twin arrows hunt area) (hunt 2 of 2) 23 15 65%
Limited opportunity antlerless (hopi: twin arrows hunt area) (hunt 1 of 2) 25 17 68%
All of 5BN 492 195 40%

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for 5BN gives 492 hunters and 195 elk taken in 2025, and 40% of them took an elk (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 2 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 16 214 13.4 17 1% AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 46
2025 16 211 13.2 16 1% AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 46

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 3132 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2024 · Unit 5BS 20 488 24.4 16 AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 36
2023 · Unit 3BN, handgun 20 — — — AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 27

Other Licenses Valid in 5BN

  • 3040 General Elk · Antlerless elk Oct 9–15 · 193 tags · 34 applied 5%
  • 3154 Archery-Only Elk Nov 13–26 · 4 tags · cut 9 3% (small sample)
  • 3176 Archery-Only Elk · Antlerless elk Sep 11–24 · 24 tags · 3 applied 66%
  • 3805 General · Antlerless elk Oct 10–16 · 3 tags · 0 applied 38% (small sample)
  • 3811 Limited Opportunity (General) · Antlerless elk Oct 10–16 · 25 tags · 0 applied 100%
  • 3812 Limited Opportunity (General) · Antlerless elk Oct 17–23 · 25 tags · 0 applied 100%
  • 3815 Archery-Only Sep 12–25 · 1 tag · 0 applied 100% (small sample)
  • 3818 Archery-Only Nov 14–27 · 0 tags · not open to nonresidents in 2026 —
  • 3821 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Sep 12–25 · 3 tags —

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 15
  1. AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 46 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 46 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2023 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2022 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2021 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2020 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2019 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2018 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2017 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Arizona elk hunts