New Mexico Elk — GMU 16E

New Mexico GMU 16E covers 613,964 acres and lies 58 miles north-west of Truth or Consequences. 81% of it is public land, mostly state trust land (55%) and BLM (24%). In 2025, 644 people hunted elk here and took 244 — 38% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 9 tags here for 11 first-choice applicants.

Tags (2026):46 Nonresident share:capped at 6% Applicants:277 Hunter success (2025):38% Public land:81% Size:613,964 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every elk license type on offer in GMU 16E, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

14 licenses on offer · 46 tags · 277 applicants in the 2026 draw

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • ELK-1-300 Unit 16E youth only — either sex — Any Legal - Youth — Oct. 10-14 2 tags · 35 applicants · Standard
    3% Long shot 1% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-300 Unit 16E youth only — either sex — Any Legal - Youth — Oct. 10-14 2 tags · 14 applicants · Outfitter
    7% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-302 Unit 16E — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 24-28 3 tags · 62 applicants · Standard
    2% Long shot 3% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-302 Unit 16E — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 24-28 5 tags · 31 applicants · Outfitter
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-303 Unit 16E — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 5-9 0 tags · 0 applicants · Standard
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-1-303 Unit 16E — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 5-9 0 tags · 0 applicants · Outfitter
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-1-304 Unit 16E — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 12-16 0 tags · 0 applicants · Standard
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-1-304 Unit 16E — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 12-16 0 tags · 0 applicants · Outfitter
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-2-298 Unit 16E — either sex — Bow — Sept. 1-14 5 tags · 39 applicants · Standard
    0% Long shot 5% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-2-298 Unit 16E — either sex — Bow — Sept. 1-14 9 tags · 11 applicants · Outfitter
    36% Long shot 6% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-2-299 Unit 16E — either sex — Bow — Sept. 15-24 3 tags · 23 applicants · Standard
    9% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-2-299 Unit 16E — either sex — Bow — Sept. 15-24 6 tags · 26 applicants · Outfitter
    19% Long shot 5% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-3-301 Unit 16E — mature bull — Muzzle — Oct. 17-21 4 tags · 24 applicants · Standard
    4% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-3-301 Unit 16E — mature bull — Muzzle — Oct. 17-21 7 tags · 12 applicants · Outfitter
    0% Long shot 36% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
New Mexico lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Standard license $867 $107 $877
Outfitter license $867 $107 $877

Application window: closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Truth or Consequences Socorro Santa Clara Rio Communities Grants
GMU 16E within New Mexico
15 16A 16B 16C 16D 17 21A 22 Truth or Consequences Socorro
GMU 16E and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Who owns the ground

  • State trust land 339,721 ac · 55%
  • BLM 150,122 ac · 24%
  • National Forest 3,740 ac · 1%
  • State land 3,426 ac · 1%
  • Private or other non-public land 116,954 ac · 19%

Source: BLM_Surface_Management_2023 (BLM New Mexico State Office Surface Management Agency layer)

How the hunting has gone

What New Mexico Department of Game and Fish publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast.

Season Hunters Harvest Success
2025 644 244 38%
2024 661 217 34%
2023 641 221 35%
2022 656 236 32%
2021 675 241 34%

What people carried (2025 harvest)

  • Rifle 88 · 47% · 278 hunters, 32% success
  • Archery 30 · 16% · 188 hunters, 16% success
  • Muzzleloader 68 · 37% · 232 hunters, 29% success

What the agency says about the area

GMU 16E: That portion of GMU 16 beginning at the intersection of FR 551 and FR 30, northwesterly along FR 551 to its intersection with FR 28, then north on FR 28 to its intersection with NM 12, then east on NM 12 to its intersection with NM 60 at Datil, then east on NM 60 to its intersection with NM 52, then south on NM 52 to its intersection with NM 163, then west on NM 163 to its...

Source: NM Game Management Units (NMDGF_Game_Management_Units_I_E__v2_WFL1), layer 0

Boundary: NM Game Management Units (NMDGF_Game_Management_Units_I_E__v2_WFL1), layer 0

Harvest: 2025-2026 Elk Harvest Report

Harvest: 2024-2025 Elk Harvest Report

Harvest: 2023 New Mexico Elk Hunter Harvest Report

How we compute draw odds · All New Mexico elk hunts