New Mexico Elk — GMU 16C

New Mexico GMU 16C covers 306,857 acres and lies 45 miles west of Truth or Consequences. 94% of it is public land, mostly national forest (78%) and state trust land (15%). In 2025, 630 people hunted elk here and took 105 — 23% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 14 tags here for 4 first-choice applicants.

Tags (2026):59 Nonresident share:capped at 6% Applicants:419 Hunter success (2025):23% Public land:94% Size:306,857 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every elk license type on offer in GMU 16C, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

14 licenses on offer · 59 tags · 419 applicants in the 2026 draw

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • ELK-1-286 Unit 16C youth only — either sex — Any Legal — Oct. 10-14 2 tags · 57 applicants · Standard
    0% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-286 Unit 16C youth only — either sex — Any Legal — Oct. 10-14 2 tags · 34 applicants · Outfitter
    3% Long shot 1% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-287 Unit 16C — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 17-21 2 tags · 59 applicants · Standard
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-287 Unit 16C — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 17-21 3 tags · 10 applicants · Outfitter
    10% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-288 Unit 16C — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 24-28 4 tags · 48 applicants · Standard
    2% Long shot 3% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-288 Unit 16C — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 24-28 6 tags · 6 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Likely draw 22% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-1-289 Unit 16C — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 5-9 0 tags · 0 applicants · Standard
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-1-289 Unit 16C — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 5-9 1 tags · 1 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Undersubscribed
  • ELK-1-290 Unit 16C — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 12-16 0 tags · 0 applicants · Standard
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-1-290 Unit 16C — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 12-16 0 tags · 0 applicants · Outfitter
    Not open to nonresidents
  • ELK-2-284 Unit 16C — either sex — Bow — Sept. 1-14 9 tags · 67 applicants · Standard
    6% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-2-284 Unit 16C — either sex — Bow — Sept. 1-14 14 tags · 4 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Likely draw 30% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-2-285 Unit 16C — either sex — Bow — Sept. 15-24 6 tags · 97 applicants · Standard
    2% Long shot 4% as 2nd choice
  • ELK-2-285 Unit 16C — either sex — Bow — Sept. 15-24 10 tags · 36 applicants · Outfitter
    17% Long shot 6% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
New Mexico lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Standard license $867 $107 $877
Outfitter license $867 $107 $877

Application window: closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Truth or Consequences Santa Clara Socorro Deming Rio Communities
GMU 16C within New Mexico
16A 16B 16D 16E 17 21A 22
GMU 16C and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Who owns the ground

  • National Forest 239,290 ac · 78%
  • State trust land 46,283 ac · 15%
  • BLM 1,250 ac · 0%
  • State land 133 ac · 0%
  • Private or other non-public land 19,899 ac · 6%

Source: BLM_Surface_Management_2023 (BLM New Mexico State Office Surface Management Agency layer)

How the hunting has gone

What New Mexico Department of Game and Fish publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast.

Season Hunters Harvest Success
2025 630 105 23%
2024 635 182 36%
2023 653 125 28%
2022 654 144 21%
2021 646 148 21%

What people carried (2025 harvest)

  • Rifle 121 · 85% · 352 hunters, 34% success
  • Archery 21 · 15% · 140 hunters, 15% success

What the agency says about the area

GMU 16C: That portion of GMU 16 beginning at the road junction of FR 150 and FR 30 in Railroad Canyon, then northeast along FR 150 to its junction with NM 163/FR 150, then northeast along NM 163 to the Continental Divide, then south along the Continental Divide to FT 42, then south along FT 42 to FT 40, then west on FT 40 to and across FR 150 to FR 225 (old FR 19), then southwest along FR 225...

Source: NM Game Management Units (NMDGF_Game_Management_Units_I_E__v2_WFL1), layer 0

Boundary: NM Game Management Units (NMDGF_Game_Management_Units_I_E__v2_WFL1), layer 0

Harvest: 2025-2026 Elk Harvest Report

Harvest: 2024-2025 Elk Harvest Report

Harvest: 2023 New Mexico Elk Hunter Harvest Report

How we compute draw odds · All New Mexico elk hunts