AmmoSight

New Mexico Deer — GMU 16

New Mexico GMU 16 covers 2,237,794 acres and lies 53 miles north of Silver City. 93% of it is public land, mostly national forest (67%) and state trust land (18%). In 2025, 1,200 people hunted deer here and took 397 — 33% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 30 tags here for 65 first-choice applicants.

Tags (2026):208 Nonresident share:capped at 6% Applicants:558 Hunter success (2025):33% Public land:93% Size:2,237,794 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every deer license type on offer in GMU 16, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

14 licenses on offer · 208 tags · 558 applicants in the 2026 draw

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • DER-1-194 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal — Nov. 7-11 18 tags · 199 applicants · Standard
    8% Long shot 2% as 2nd choice
  • DER-1-194 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal — Nov. 7-11 30 tags · 65 applicants · Outfitter
    31% Long shot 4% as 2nd choice
  • DER-1-195 Unit 16: mobility impaired only — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal - Mobility — Nov. 14-18 2 tags · 5 applicants · Standard
    20% Long shot 100% as 2nd choice
  • DER-1-195 Unit 16: mobility impaired only — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal - Mobility — Nov. 14-18 2 tags · 1 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Undersubscribed
  • DER-1-196 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal — Nov. 14-18 18 tags · 101 applicants · Standard
    10% Long shot 5% as 2nd choice
  • DER-1-196 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal — Nov. 14-18 30 tags · 17 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Likely draw 24% as 2nd choice
  • DER-1-197 Unit 16: youth only — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal - Youth — Nov. 21-29 6 tags · 9 applicants · Standard
    11% Long shot 18% as 2nd choice
  • DER-1-197 Unit 16: youth only — fork-antlered deer — Any Legal - Youth — Nov. 21-29 10 tags · 5 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Likely draw 25% as 2nd choice
  • DER-2-198 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Bow — Sept. 1-24 13 tags · 45 applicants · Standard
    22% Long shot 11% as 2nd choice
  • DER-2-198 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Bow — Sept. 1-24 21 tags · 15 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Likely draw 40% as 2nd choice
  • DER-2-199 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Bow — Jan. 1-15, ‘27 11 tags · 52 applicants · Standard
    13% Long shot 11% as 2nd choice
  • DER-2-199 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Bow — Jan. 1-15, ‘27 17 tags · 9 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Likely draw 25% as 2nd choice
  • DER-3-200 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Muzzle — Oct. 31-Nov.4 18 tags · 32 applicants · Standard
    16% Long shot 11% as 2nd choice
  • DER-3-200 Unit 16 — fork-antlered deer — Muzzle — Oct. 31-Nov.4 12 tags · 3 applicants · Outfitter
    100% Undersubscribed 50% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
—
New Mexico lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Standard license $492 $107 $502
Outfitter license $492 $107 $502

Application window: closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Silver City Truth or Consequences Socorro Lordsburg Grants
GMU 16 within New Mexico
12 13 14 15 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Silver City Truth or Consequences Socorro Lordsburg Hatch
GMU 16 and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Who owns the ground

  • National Forest 1,502,311 ac · 67%
  • State trust land 399,769 ac · 18%
  • BLM 166,567 ac · 7%
  • State land 3,747 ac · 0%
  • Private or other non-public land 165,398 ac · 7%

Source: BLM_Surface_Management_2023 (BLM New Mexico State Office Surface Management Agency layer)

Nearby areas

How the hunting has gone

What New Mexico Department of Game and Fish publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast.

Season Hunters Harvest Success
2025 1,200 397 33%
2024 1,213 364 30%
2023 1,213 318 26%
2022 1,204 294 24%
2021 1,213 290 24%

What people carried (2025 harvest)

  • Muzzleloader 70 · 33% · 253 hunters, 28% success
  • Rifle 114 · 54% · 232 hunters, 49% success
  • Archery 28 · 13% · 136 hunters, 21% success

Boundary: NM Game Management Units (NMDGF_Game_Management_Units_I_E__v2_WFL1), layer 0

Harvest: 2025-2026 Deer Harvest Report

Harvest: 2024-2025 Deer Harvest Report

Harvest: 2023-2024 Deer Harvest Report

How we compute draw odds · All New Mexico deer hunts