AmmoSight

Arizona Elk 3193

Archery-Only · Antlerless elk in Unit 8, archery only, Sep 15–28, 2023. 95% public land, mostly National Forest.

No longer drawn. The last draw was 2023.

Arizona Game & Fish Department held its 2026 elk draw without 3193. The odds, costs and history below are that record, not an offer.

Your odds at 0 points · 2023 draw

51% Below the cut

1 of 1 applicant at 0 points drew

You're 5 points below the 2023 cut of 5.

Years to draw on points: —

Tags
50
Nonresident Applicants
6
Success
20%

First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: Archery-only bull, early hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw

One draw on file (2023), so there is no trend to chart yet.

Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.

What It Costs · 2025 NR Fees

Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$825

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $650 nonresident elk hunt permit-tag ($665 incl. $15 application fee).

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Clarkdale Chino Valley Sedona 8
31%hunter success 2025 · 1,191 hunters, 372 elk
Unit 8 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2023 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you 51% 1 1
1 75% 3 0
2 88% 2 1
3–10 100% — —

Monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 35, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
10%

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Archery-only bull, early 176 36 20%
Archery-only bull, late 39 8 21%
Archery-only antlerless 39 6 15%
General bull · 25 licenses 24 15 63%
General bull · 488 licenses 375 119 32%
General antlerless 399 139 35%
Muzzleloader antlerless 139 49 35%
All of Unit 8 1,191 372 31%

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for Unit 8 gives 1,191 hunters and 372 elk taken in 2025, and 31% of them took an elk (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 1 draw

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags (All Res.) Nonresident Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2023 50 6 1.2 5 17% AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 35

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 8

  • 3021 General Elk Nov 27 – Dec 3 · 50 tags · cut 9 2%
  • 3049 General Elk · Antlerless elk Dec 4–10 · 550 tags · cut 5 21%
  • 3111 Muzzleloader Elk · Antlerless elk Oct 16–22 · 150 tags · cut 12 11%
  • 3139 Archery-Only Elk Sep 11–24 · 20 tags · cut 15 <1%
  • 3160 Archery-Only Elk Nov 13–26 · 5 tags · cut 8 10%
  • 3182 Archery-Only Elk · Antlerless elk Sep 11–24 · 50 tags · cut 6 29%

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 15
  1. AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 35 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2025 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2023 AZ Elk Draw Odds, p. 5 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2023 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2022 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2021 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2020 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2019 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2018 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2017 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2023 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona elk hunts