Utah Deer DB1079 — Unit Manti/San Rafael
Limited-entry Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael
- What you may take
- Limited-entry Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael (antlered)
- Weapon
- Muzzleloader
- Season (2026)
- Oct 28 – Nov 5, 2026
- Nonresident tags (2026)
- 5
- for 37 first-choice applicants
- Hunter success here (2025)
- 39%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 3 tags, 37 first-choice applicants, drew out at 16 points. Source: Utah Draw System DrawOddsData · HuntID=1915.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1% (<1%–1%) | 5 | 0 |
| 1 | 2% (2%–2%) | 11 | 0 |
| 2 | 4% (3%–4%) | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 5% | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 5% (5%–6%) | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | 7% | — | — |
| 6 | 7% (7%–8%) | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | 8% (7%–8%) | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | 10% (9%–10%) | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 12% (11%–13%) | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | 12% (12%–13%) | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | 13% | — | — |
| 13 | 14% (13%–15%) | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | 15% (14%–16%) | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | 16% | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 100% (100%–100%) | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | 100% (100%–100%) | 1 | 1 |
| 18–19 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
Monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Utah Division of Wildlife Resources did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $764 (enough points to draw) to $16,313.29 (lowest published odds).
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $21 (Mar 19 – Jun 23, expected) and keeps you moving toward the 16-point cut.
Next application window: opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 31. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.
Seasons (2026)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Manti/San Rafael, Utah Division of Wildlife Resources counted 7,463 hunters and 2,943 deer taken in 2025 — 39% of them killed something. Full Manti/San Rafael profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2025) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type Limited Entry on General Season | 40 | 33 | 83% | — |
| Type General Season | 1,168 | 250 | 21% | — |
| Type General Season | 4,060 | 1,921 | 47% | — |
| Type General Season | 1,194 | 347 | 29% | — |
| Type General Season | 1,001 | 392 | 39% | — |
Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: 2025 Utah Big Game Harvest (preliminary) — single combined report, all species and hunt types 2024 Utah Big Game Harvest — General Season Buck Deer + Limited Entry/Once-in-a-Lifetime (all species)
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Utah runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Random pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 37 | 7.4 | 16 | 2 tags | Utah Draw System DrawOddsData · HuntID=1915 |
Earlier years, when this number was a different hunt
Utah reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years DB1079 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.
| Year · what it was | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · Unit Manti/san Rafael | — | 37 | — | 16 | 2025 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 71 |
| 2024 · Unit Manti/san Rafael | — | 21 | — | 14 | 2024 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 72 |
| 2023 · Unit Central Mtns, Manti/san Rafael | — | 52 | — | 13 | 2023 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 73 |
| 2022 · Unit Central Mtns, Manti/san Rafael | — | 11 | — | 11 | 2022 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 73 |
| 2021 · Unit Central Mtns, Manti/san Rafael | — | 12 | — | 10 | 2021 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 71 |
Other licenses valid in Manti/San Rafael
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.