Utah Deer — Manti/San Rafael
Utah Manti/San Rafael covers 4,899,166 acres and lies 88 miles south-east of Santaquin. 87% of it is public land, mostly BLM (53%) and national forest (18%). In 2025, 7,463 people hunted deer here and took 2,943 — 39% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 5 nonresident tags here for 37 first-choice applicants, and the last tag went to someone with 16 points.
Your chance of drawing here
Every deer license type on offer in Manti/San Rafael, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
1% Point builder
-
99% Likely draw
-
56% Real chance
-
100% Undersubscribed
-
100% Likely draw
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | Points needed | Tags / applicants | License | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DB1079 ↗ Limited-entry Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael Muzzleloader | 1% Point builder | 16 | 5 / 37 | Standard | Oct 28 – Nov 5, 2026 |
| DB1503 ↗ General Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael Archery | 99% Likely draw | 0 steady since 2021 | — / 125 | Standard | Aug 15 – Sep 11, 2026 |
| DB1533 ↗ General Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael Rifle | 56% Real chance | 0 steady since 2021 | — / 511 | Standard | Oct 17–25, 2026 |
| DB1533 ↗ General Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael Rifle | 100% Undersubscribed | 0 | — / 9 undersubscribed | Youth | Oct 17–25, 2026 |
| DB1563 ↗ General Buck Deer - Manti/San Rafael Muzzleloader | 100% Likely draw | 0 steady since 2021 | — / 85 | Standard | Sep 23 – Oct 1, 2026 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard license | $165 | $165 | $764 |
| Youth license | $165 | $165 | $764 |
Application window: opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
Who owns the ground
- BLM 2,610,238 ac · 53%
- National Forest 865,609 ac · 18%
- Private 616,644 ac · 13%
- State trust land 438,638 ac · 9%
- National Park Service 279,889 ac · 6%
- State land 86,709 ac · 2%
- Department of Defense 78 ac · 0%
How the hunting has gone
What Utah Division of Wildlife Resources publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Utah Division of Wildlife Resources publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season.
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7,463 | 2,943 | 39% |
| 2024 | 7,250 | 2,489 | 34% |
What people carried (2025 harvest)
- Muzzleloader 380 · 15% · 1,234 hunters, 31% success
- Archery 250 · 10% · 1,168 hunters, 21% success
- Firearm 1,921 · 75% · 4,060 hunters, 47% success
Boundary: Utah Big Game Hunt Boundaries 2025 (DWR hunt-unit / sub-unit boundaries, all species)
Harvest: 2025 Utah Big Game Harvest (preliminary) — single combined report, all species and hunt types