Oregon Antelope (Pronghorn) 435M

Any pronghorn, muzzleloader in Unit 35 — Paulina, muzzleloader only, Aug 29 – Sep 6, 2026. 78% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

2% Below the cut

about 1 in 48, from the random pass

You're 11 points below the 2026 cut of 11, which has risen from 9 to 11 points since 2022.

Years to draw on points: 12 yrs (at least 12)

Tags
6
Nonresident Applicants
5
Success
90%

First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 3%. Success: 435 paulina unit hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2022–2026

points needed applicants per tag
9 10 9 12 11 you: 0 pts, below the chart ↓
2022
12:1
2023
11:1
2024
10:1
2025
11:1
2026
9:1

The cut has risen from 9 to 11 points since 2022. Applicants per tag: 12:1 in 2022, 8.8:1 in 2026.

Point creep: drew out at 9 → 10 → 9 → 12 → 11 points (2022–2026), +0.0 points/yr (range +0.0 to +2.0). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes May 15 · 210 days
Cost to Apply
$203
If You Miss
$203
If You Draw
$646

The $10 controlled hunt application (per hunt series; also the Point Saver price) is not refunded. The $193 nonresident annual hunting license (required to apply) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $443 nonresident pronghorn antelope tag (paid only if drawn).

Opens
Dec 1, 2026
Closes
May 15, 2027
Results
about Jun 12

Next application window: Open Dec 1, 2026 – May 15, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Bend Redmond Sweet Home Springfield Cottage Grove 35
83%hunter success 2025 · 18 hunters, 15 pronghorn
Unit 35 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–10 ← you 2% — —
11 51% 2 1
12–14 100% — —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 435M drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
435 paulina unit 10 9 90%
435m paulina unit muzzleloader 6 5 80%
435r paulina unit bow 2 1 50%
All of Unit 35 18 15 83%

Adding up Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Unit 35 gives 18 hunters and 15 pronghorn taken in 2025, and 83% of them took a pronghorn (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in. Source: ODFW 2025 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by…; ODFW 2024 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by….

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags (All Res.) Nonresident Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2026 6 5 8.8 11 1 tag ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report
2025 6 11 11 12 1 tag ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report
2024 6 6 9.7 9 1 tag ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report
2023 6 8 10.5 10 1 tag ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report
2022 6 9 12 9 1 tag ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 35

  • 435 Paulina Unit Aug 15–23 · 17 tags · cut 19 <1%
  • 435R Paulina Unit Bow Aug 29 – Sep 6 · 6 tags · cut 6 3%

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 14
  1. ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. ODFW 2026 OAR chapter 635 division 060 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. ODFW 2025 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ODFW 2024 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ODFW 2023 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ODFW 2022 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ODFW 2021 Estimated Pronghorn Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ODFW 2026 Wildlife Management Unit boundaries boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. Bureau of Land Management, Oregon State Office 2026 BLM /Washington Land Status Ownership land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Oregon pronghorn hunts