Montana Mountain Goat — Hunting District 451

Montana Hunting District 451 covers 790,703 acres and lies 23 miles north of Townsend. In 2011, 1 person hunted mountain goat here and took 1.

Hunter success (2011):100% Size:790,703 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every mountain goat license type on offer in Hunting District 451, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

1 license on offer in the 2011 draw

Chances are from the 2011 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 451-00 Mountain Goat License 451-00 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2011 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2011 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Per application $110 $110 $110

Application window: opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Townsend Three Forks Great Falls Ennis Lewistown
Hunting District 451 within Montana
280 313 350 393 453 Townsend East Helena White Sulphur Springs Boulder Deer Lodge
Hunting District 451 and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

How the hunting has gone

What Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Montana's figures blend mandatory reporting with a phone and mail survey. FWP does not publish district-level hunter counts for elk or antelope, so success rates are missing for those.

Season Hunters Harvest Success
2011 1 1 100%
2010 2 2 100%
2009 2 2 100%
2008 4 4 100%
2007 3 3 100%
2005 4 4 100%

Residents vs nonresidents (2011)

  • Resident 1 taken · 1 hunters

Boundary: ADMBND_HD_GOAT_ALL - All Past Years (targeted per-district queries)

Harvest: FWP Harvest Estimates CSV export - mountain goat, all districts, 2005-2025 except 2006 (absent from the export)

How we compute draw odds · All Montana mountain goat hunts