Colorado Antelope (Pronghorn) — GMU 851
Colorado GMU 851 covers 280,395 acres and lies 61 miles south-east of Alamosa and 84 miles south of Pueblo. 13% of it is public land, mostly county or city land (12%) and national forest (1%). In 2021, 5 people hunted pronghorn here and took 5 — 100% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 256 tags here for 1 first-choice applicants.
Your chance of drawing here
Every pronghorn license type on offer in GMU 851, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
AF069P2R pronghorn female rifle private-land-only GMU 69 [69, 84, 85, 86, 691, 861] 256 tags · 1 applicants100% Undersubscribed 67% as 2nd choice
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | As 2nd choice | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF069P2R ↗ pronghorn female rifle private-land-only GMU 69 [69, 84, 85, 86, 691, 861] | 100% Undersubscribed | 67% | — | 256 / 1 undersubscribed | Oct 17–25, 2026 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- As 2nd choice —
- Colorado lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per application | $129.11 | $129.11 | $636.03 |
Application window: opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
How the hunting has gone
What Colorado Parks and Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Colorado's figures come from CPW's post-season hunter survey. CPW's 2025 report dropped the per-GMU table in favour of hunt-code rows, so the newest year shown here is 2024.
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 5 | 100% |
What people carried (2021 harvest)
- Archery 5 · 100% · 5 hunters, 100% success
Boundary: CPW GMU Boundary (Big Game)
Harvest: 2021 Statewide Pronghorn Harvest