California Elk 303 — Zone Marble Mountains

Marble Mountains - Muzzleloader/Archery - Either - Sex · Marble Mountains Roosevelt Elk Hunt

What you may take
Marble Mountains - Muzzleloader/Archery - Either - Sex
Weapon
Muzzleloader
Where
Marble Mountains — Roosevelt Elk Hunt
67% public of 4,580,677 acres
Season (2025)
Oct 25 – Nov 2, 2025
Tags (2025)
10
for 334 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 1
Roosevelt success here (2022)
64%
of everyone who hunted the area

Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident

Odds by point level — 2025 draw

Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 8 tags, 334 first-choice applicants. Source: 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2.

Points Your chance Applicants Drawn
0 <1% 35
1 <1% 43
2 <1% 30
3 <1% 22
4 <1% 38
5 <1% 26
6 <1% 13
7 <1% 16
8 <1% 11
9 <1% 10
10 <1% 13
11 <1% 10
12 <1% 13
13 <1% 7
14 <1% 10
15 <1% 5
16 <1% 2
17 <1% 0
18 <1% 3
19 67% 3
20 100% 2
21 100% 4
22 100% 0
23 100% 0

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.

What it costs (2025 nonresident fees)

Cash to apply
$227.94
Out of pocket if unsuccessful
$227.94
Total if drawn
$2,053.79
Refunded if unsuccessful
$0

At the 2025 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $2,053.79 (enough points to draw) to $39,891.98 (lowest published odds).

Elk Tag Drawing Application · paid at application $8.13 source
Nonresident hunting license · paid at application $219.81 source
Nonresident elk tag (paid only if drawn) · paid if drawn, refundable $1,825.85 source

Next application window: opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~June 15. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.

Point creep & years to draw

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

Seasons (2025)

Split 1: Oct 25 – Nov 2, 2025 p. 2

How this tag has hunted

Across every license type in Marble Mountains, California Department of Fish and Wildlife counted 53 hunters and 34 roosevelt taken in 2022 — 64% of them killed something. Full Marble Mountains profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →

Hunters holding this license type (2022) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:

What they hunted Hunters Harvest Success Days per animal
Roosevelt 4 4 100%
Roosevelt 10 3 30%
Roosevelt 7 2 25%
Roosevelt 32 25 74%

Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates

Year by year

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Applicants per tag Points needed Random pass Source
2025 10 334 33.4 2 tagsfrom 334 applications 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2
2024 10 402 40.2 2 tagsfrom 402 applications 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2
2023 10 383 38.3 2 tagsfrom 383 applications 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2
2022 10 464 46.4 2 tagsfrom 464 applications 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2
2021 10 412 41.2 2 tagsfrom 412 applications 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics · p. 2
2020 10 482 48.2 2 tagsfrom 482 applications 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics... · p. 4
2019 10 228 22.8 2 tagsfrom 228 applications 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn... · p. 1
2018 5 336 67.2 1 tagfrom 336 applications 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1
2017 5 268 53.6 1 tagfrom 268 applications 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1

Other licenses valid in Marble Mountains

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Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.