AmmoSight

Arizona Antelope (Pronghorn) 2031

Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader in Unit 8, muzzleloader only, Sep 4–13, 2026. 95% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

<1% (small sample) Point builder

0 of 3 applicants at 0 points drew

Years to draw on points: —

NR Tags
1
Applicants
18
Success
80%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: Muzzleloader (hunt 1 of 2) hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw

No cut was published in enough years to chart one.

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Feb 3 · 108 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$725

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $550 nonresident pronghorn hunt permit-tag ($565 incl. $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
Jan 13, 2027
Closes
Feb 3, 2027
Results
about Feb 23

Next application window: Open Jan 13 – Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Clarkdale Chino Valley Sedona 8
Unit 8 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you <1% (small sample) 3 0
1 <1% (small sample) 3 0
2 <1% (small sample) 0 0
3 <1% (small sample) 1 1
4 <1% (small sample) 0 0
5 <1% (small sample) 0 0
6 <1% (small sample) 2 0
7 1% (small sample) 1 0
8 1% (small sample) 0 0
9 1% (small sample) 2 0
10 1% (small sample) 1 0
11 2% (small sample) 1 0
12 2% (small sample) 0 0
13 2% (small sample) 0 0
14 2% (small sample) 0 0
15 2% (small sample) 2 0
16 2% (small sample) 0 0
17 2% (small sample) 2 0
18 2% (small sample) 0 0
19 3% (small sample) 0 0
20 3% (small sample) 0 0
21 3% (small sample) 0 0
22 3% (small sample) 0 0
23 3% (small sample) 0 0
24 3% (small sample) 0 0
25 3% (small sample) 0 0
26 3% (small sample) 0 0
27 4% (small sample) — —
28 4% (small sample) — —
29 4% (small sample) 0 0

Monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 8, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
2% (small sample)

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Muzzleloader (hunt 1 of 2) 5 4 80%
Muzzleloader (hunt 2 of 2) 3 3 100%
All of Unit 8 8 7 —

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for Unit 8 gives 8 hunters and 7 pronghorn taken in 2025 (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2024 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 2 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 1 18 18 — 0.00% AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 8
2025 1 21 21 — 0.00% AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 8

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 2031 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2024 · Unit 15A, 15B 0 6 — — AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 6
2023 · Unit 17B, 19B 1 111 111 — AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 5

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 8

  • 2014 General Pronghorn Oct 2–11 · 1 tag · 68 applied <1% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 15
  1. AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 8 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 8 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2025 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2024 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2023 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2022 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2021 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2020 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2019 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2018 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2017 AZ Pronghorn Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona pronghorn hunts