Arizona Elk 3823 — 3823
Hunt 3823 (not listed in the regulations booklet)
- What you may take
- Hunt 3823 (not listed in the regulations booklet)
- Weapon
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- Where
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- Season
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- Tags (2026)
- 1
- nonresidents capped at 10%
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 1 tags. Source: 2026 M Draw Report · p. 64.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
| 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 4–10 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
Computed from the agency's published draw results. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $825 (enough points to draw) .
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $15 (Jan 13 – Feb 3, expected) and adds a point for next year's draw.
Next application window: opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~February 23. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | — | — | — | 2026 M Draw Report · p. 64 |
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.
How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.