Arizona Elk 3203 — 3203

Limited Opportunity (Archery-Only) | Any elk | 28/31/32

What you may take: Limited Opportunity (Archery-Only) | Any elk | 28/31/32
Weapon: Archery; Archery gear only — no rifle season on this license.
Where: 28, 31, 32
Season (2023): Sep 15–28, 2023
Tags (2023): 5; for 10 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 10%

Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident

Odds by point level — 2023 draw

Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 5 tags, 10 first-choice applicants. Source: 2023 M Draw Report · p. 37.

Points	Your chance	Applicants	Drawn
0	17% (16%–17%)	8	2
1	32% (30%–33%)	1	0
2	47%	0	0
3	63%	—	—
4	79%	0	0
5	100% (100%–100%)	1	0
6	100%	0	0
7	100%	0	0
8–10	100% same chance at every one of these levels	—	—

Monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.

What it costs (2025 nonresident fees)

Cash to apply

$175

Out of pocket if unsuccessful

$175

Total if drawn

$825

Refunded if unsuccessful

At the 2023 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $825 (enough points to draw) to $1,696.53 (lowest published odds).

Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee · paid at application $15 source

Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license · paid at application $160 source

Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $15 source

Nonresident elk hunt permit-tag ($665 incl. $15 application fee) · paid if drawn $650 source

Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $15 (Jan 13 – Feb 3, expected) and adds a point for next year's draw.

Next application window: opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~February 23. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.

Point creep & years to draw

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

Seasons (2023)

Split 1: Sep 15–28, 2023 p. 5

As a lower choice

2nd choice

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.

Year by year

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year	Tags	Applicants	Applicants per tag	Points needed	Published odds	Source
2023	5	10	2.0	—	20%	2023 M Draw Report · p. 37

Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.