Arizona Deer 1188 — 1188

MUZZLELOADER DEER | Any antlered deer | 15A, 15B, 15C, and 15D

What you may take: MUZZLELOADER DEER | Any antlered deer | 15A, 15B, 15C, and 15D
Weapon: Muzzleloader
Where: 15A, 15B, 15C, 15D
Season (2026): Nov 6–12, 2026
Tags (2026): 12; for 15 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 10%

Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident

Odds by point level — 2026 draw

Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 12 tags, 15 first-choice applicants, drew out at 2 points. Source: 2026 F Draw Report · p. 43.

Points	Your chance	Applicants	Drawn
0	61%	6	5
1	85%	4	2
2	100%	3	3
3	100%	1	1
4	100%	1	1
5	100%	0	0
6–10	100% same chance at every one of these levels	—	—

Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.

What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)

Cash to apply

$175

Out of pocket if unsuccessful

$175

Total if drawn

$475

Refunded if unsuccessful

At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $475 (enough points to draw) to $584.76 (lowest published odds).

Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) · paid at application $15 source

Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) · paid at application $160 source

Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $15 source

Nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee) · paid if drawn $300 source

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $15 and keeps you moving toward the 2-point cut.

Next application window: closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.

Point creep & years to draw

Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.

Seasons (2026)

Split 1: Nov 6–12, 2026 p. 32

As a lower choice

2nd choice

10%

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.

Year by year

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year	Tags	Applicants	Applicants per tag	Points needed	Published odds	Source
2026	12	15	1.3	2	33%	2026 F Draw Report · p. 43

Earlier years, when this number was a different hunt

Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 1188 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · what it was	Tags	Applicants	Applicants per tag	Points needed	Source
2025 · Unit 20B	6	2	0.3	—	2025 Fall Draw Report · p. 43
2024 · Unit 35A, 35B	4	2	0.5	3	2024 F Draw Report · p. 22
2023 · Unit 39, 40A, 40B, 41, 42	5	48	9.6	14	2023 F Draw Report · p. 30

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How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.