Arizona Deer 1187
Antlered deer, muzzleloader in Units 15A, 15B, 15C and 15D, muzzleloader only, Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2026.
Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw
6 of 9 applicants at 0 points drew
You're 3 points below the 2026 cut of 3.
Years to draw on points: —
- NR Tags
- 12
- Applicants
- 19
- Success
- —
First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%.
Points Needed to Draw, 2025–2026
Applicants per tag: 18:1 in 2025, 1.6:1 in 2026.
Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.
What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees
Closes Jun 2 · 226 daysThe $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $300 nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee).
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
- Opens
- —
- Closes
- Jun 2, 2027
- Point Only
- $15
Next application window: Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) · paid at application $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) · paid at application $160 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee) · paid if drawn $300 AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ← you | 43% | 9 | 6 |
| 1 | 68% | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 80% | 4 | 2 |
| 3–10 | 100% same at every level | — | — |
Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.
Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 43, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
As a Lower Choice
Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 2 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Published Odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 19 | 1.6 | 3 | 44% | AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 43 |
| 2025 | 1 | 18 | 18 | — | 6% | AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 43 |
Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt
Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 1187 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.
| Year · What It Was | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · Unit 20B | 6 | 2 | 0.3 | — | AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 22 |
| 2023 · Unit 35A, 35B | 1 | 10 | 10 | — | AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 30 |
▸ Sources 5
- AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 43 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 43 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026-2027 Hunting Regulations, p. 32 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.
Report an error on this page
We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona deer hunts