AmmoSight

Arizona Deer 1186

Antlered deer, muzzleloader in 12BW, muzzleloader only, Nov 6–12, 2026. 96% public land, mostly BLM.

New for 2026

The 2026 draw is the first on record for 1186: Arizona Game & Fish Department did not offer this hunt code in earlier years, so the year-by-year table has one row and there is no point-creep trend to project yet. The odds shown are that one draw's actual results, not an estimate.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

<1% (small sample) Point builder

0 of 11 applicants at 0 points drew

Years to draw on points: —

NR Tags
1
Applicants
91
Success
76%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: General · 99 licenses hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw

One draw on file (2026), so there is no trend to chart yet.

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$475

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $300 nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
—
Closes
Jun 2, 2027

Next application window: Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Page Colorado City 12BW
12BW in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you <1% (small sample) 11 0
1 <1% (small sample) 9 0
2 <1% (small sample) 8 0
3 <1% (small sample) 10 0
4 <1% (small sample) 1 0
5 <1% (small sample) 11 0
6 1% (small sample) 9 0
7 1% (small sample) 5 0
8 1% (small sample) 4 0
9 1% (small sample) 3 0
10 2% (small sample) 1 0
11 2% (small sample) 6 0
12 2% (small sample) 4 1
13 2% (small sample) 0 0
14 2% (small sample) 2 0
15 2% (small sample) 1 0
16 3% (small sample) 1 0
17 3% (small sample) — —
18 3% (small sample) 1 0
19 3% (small sample) 2 0
20 4% (small sample) 1 0
21 4% (small sample) 1 0
22 4% (small sample) 0 0
23 4% (small sample) 0 0
24 4% (small sample) 0 0
25 4% (small sample) 0 0
26 4% (small sample) 0 0

Monte Carlo over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level. As a lower choice, 1186 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 43, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
General · 99 licenses 87 66 76%
Mule deer (hunt 1 of 3) — 65 —
General · 53 licenses 43 40 93%
Mule deer (hunt 2 of 3) — 40 —
Muzzleloader 15 13 87%
Mule deer (hunt 3 of 3) — 13 —
All of 12BW · mule deer — 118 —

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for 12BW gives 118 mule deer taken in 2025 (sum of published weapon rows; hunter counts not published). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 1 draw

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 1 91 91 — 1% AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 43

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 1186 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2025 · Unit 15A, 15B, 15C, 15D 10 6 0.6 0 AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 43
2024 · Unit 15A, 15B, 15C, 15D 10 14 1.4 0 AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 22
2023 · Unit 35A, 35B 4 9 2.3 3 AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 29

Other Licenses Valid in 12BW

  • 1019 General Deer Oct 23 – Nov 1 · 11 tags · cut 17 1%
  • 1020 General Deer Nov 20–29 · 7 tags · cut 28 <1%

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 14
  1. AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 43 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2026-2027 Hunting Regulations, p. 32 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2023 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2022 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2021 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2020 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2019 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2018 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (monte Carlo over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona deer hunts