Utah Deer DB1014 — Unit San Juan, Elk Ridge

Limited-entry Buck Deer - San Juan, Elk Ridge

San Juan, Elk Ridge within Utah

What you may take: Limited-entry Buck Deer - San Juan, Elk Ridge (antlered)
Weapon: Archery; Archery gear only — no rifle season on this license.
Where: San Juan, Elk Ridge; 99% public of 1,973,470 acres
Season (2026): Aug 15 – Sep 11, 2026
Nonresident tags (2026): 2; for 272 first-choice applicants
Hunter success here (2025): 90%; of everyone who hunted the area

Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident

Odds by point level — 2026 draw

Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 1 tags, 272 first-choice applicants, drew out at 25 points. Source: Utah Draw System DrawOddsData · HuntID=1302.

Points	Your chance	Applicants	Drawn
0	<1% (<1%–<1%)	29	0
1	<1% (<1%–<1%)	23	0
2	<1% (<1%–<1%)	15	0
3	<1% (<1%–<1%)	24	0
4	<1% (<1%–<1%)	16	0
5	<1% (<1%–<1%)	13	0
6	<1% (<1%–<1%)	16	0
7	<1% (<1%–<1%)	15	0
8	<1% (<1%–<1%)	16	0
9	<1% (<1%–<1%)	11	0
10	<1% (<1%–<1%)	11	0
11	<1% (<1%–<1%)	10	0
12	<1% (<1%–<1%)	7	0
13	<1% (<1%–<1%)	7	0
14	<1% (<1%–<1%)	9	0
15	<1% (<1%–<1%)	4	0
16	<1% (<1%–<1%)	9	0
17	<1% (<1%–<1%)	20	0
18	<1% (<1%–<1%)	2	0
19	<1% (<1%–1%)	2	0
20	<1% (<1%–1%)	4	0
21	<1% (<1%–1%)	2	0
22	<1% (<1%–1%)	2	1
23	<1% (<1%–<1%)	1	0
24	1% (<1%–2%)	1	0
25	34% (34%–34%)	3	1
26–28	100% same chance at every one of these levels	—	—

Monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Utah Division of Wildlife Resources did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.

What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)

Cash to apply

$165

Out of pocket if unsuccessful

$165

Total if drawn

$764

Refunded if unsuccessful

At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $764 (enough points to draw) to $399,149.72 (lowest published odds).

Nonresident big game application fee, per species or point applied for (plus 2.2% card processing fee) · paid at application $21 source

Nonresident 365-day hunting license, age 18+ (required to apply; a drawn nonresident big game permit also acts as a 1-year fishing license) · paid at application $144 or $190 source

Bonus or preference point only (same as the application fee; no permit fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $21 source

Nonresident general-season buck deer permit · paid if drawn $599 or $1,070 or $1,398 or $2,130 or $2,330 source

Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $21 (Mar 19 – Jun 23, expected) and keeps you moving toward the 25-point cut.

Next application window: opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 31. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.

Point creep & years to draw

Drew out at 22 → 27 → 25 points (2024–2026): +0.0 points/yr (range +0.0 to +2.0). Projecting that pace forward:

Your points now	Years until a sure thing
0	25 yrs (25–∞)
4	21 yrs (21–∞)
8	17 yrs (17–∞)
12	13 yrs (13–∞)
16	9 yrs (9–∞)
20	5 yrs (5–∞)

A projection of the last five draws' median creep (capped at 2 points/yr), not a forecast. Random-pass odds still apply every year you're below the cut.

Seasons (2026)

Split 1: Aug 15 – Sep 11, 2026 p. HuntID=1302

How this tag has hunted

Across every license type in San Juan, Elk Ridge, Utah Division of Wildlife Resources counted 81 hunters and 73 deer taken in 2025 — 90% of them killed something. Full San Juan, Elk Ridge profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →

Hunters holding this license type (2025) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:

What they hunted	Hunters	Harvest	Success	Days per animal
Type Limited Entry	17	17	100%	—
Type Limited Entry	45	40	89%	—
Type Limited Entry	16	14	88%	—
Type Limited Entry	3	2	67%	—

Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: 2025 Utah Big Game Harvest (preliminary) — single combined report, all species and hunt types 2024 Utah Big Game Harvest — General Season Buck Deer + Limited Entry/Once-in-a-Lifetime (all species)

Year by year

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Utah runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year	Tags	Applicants	Applicants per tag	Points needed	Random pass	Source
2026	2	272	136.0	25	1 tag	Utah Draw System DrawOddsData · HuntID=1302
2025	—	272	—	27	0 tags	2025 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 31
2024	—	338	—	22	0 tags	2024 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 30
2023	—	269	—	—	0 tags	2023 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 31
2022	—	285	—	—	0 tags	2022 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 30
2021	—	271	—	—	0 tags	2021 Draw 5, Big Game Bonus... · p. 28

Other licenses valid in San Juan, Elk Ridge

DB1022 — Limited-entry Buck Deer - San Juan, Elk Ridge Rifle DB1037 — Limited-entry Buck Deer - San Juan, Elk Ridge Muzzleloader DB1046 — Multiseason LE Buck Deer - San Juan, Elk Ridge (multiseason) Rifle

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How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.