New Mexico Elk ELK-3-427 — ELK-3-427

Unit 54/55A: Colin Neblett WMA only — mature bull — Muzzle — Oct. 10-14

What you may take: Unit 54/55A: Colin Neblett WMA only — mature bull — Muzzle — Oct. 10-14 (male)
Weapon: Muzzleloader
Where: 54, 55A
Season (2026): Oct 10–14, 2026
Tags (2026): 20; for 10 first-choice applicants

Showing resident results. Switch to nonresident

Odds by point level — 2026 draw

Prior-draw probability for a first-choice resident applicant. 20 tags, 10 first-choice applicants. Source: 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds... · sheet1 row 853.

Points	Your chance	Applicants	Drawn
0	100%	—	—

Fewer applicants than tags. A dash means New Mexico Department of Game and Fish did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.

What it costs (2026 resident fees)

Cash to apply

$129

Out of pocket if unsuccessful

$36

Total if drawn

$139

Refunded if unsuccessful

$93

At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $139 (enough points to draw) .

Resident draw application fee (per species, nonrefundable; included in the printed draw price) · paid at application $7 source

Resident Game-Hunting License (must be purchased, nonrefundable, before applying) · paid at application $25 source

Habitat Management and Access Validation (HMAV), mandatory age 18+ · paid at application $4 source

Habitat Stamp (required to hunt on BLM and Forest Service land) · paid if drawn $10 source

Resident Elk License, mature bull or either sex, any fee tier (printed $100 incl. $7 application fee); antlerless $70 printed ($63 + $7) · paid at application, refundable $93 source

Next application window: closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) · results ~April 22. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.

Point creep & years to draw

No points in this draw — every applicant has the same chance each year, so there is no cut to creep and nothing to build toward.

Seasons (2026)

Split 1: Oct 10–14, 2026 p. sheet1 row 853

As a lower choice

2nd choice

40%

Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.

3rd choice

22%

Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.

Year by year

The standard draw for residents, one row per year.

Year	Tags	Applicants	Applicants per tag	Points needed	Published odds	Source
2026	20	10	0.5	—	38%	2026 Big Game Drawing Odds... · sheet1 row 853
2025	20	8	0.4	—	57%	2025-26 Big-Game Drawing Odds... · sheet1 row 855

Earlier years, when this number was a different hunt

New Mexico reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years ELK-3-427 stood for another gmu or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · what it was	Tags	Applicants	Applicants per tag	Points needed	Source
2024 · GMU 54	20	6	0.3	—	2024-25 Big-Game Drawing Odds... · sheet1 row 864
2023 · GMU 54	20	5	0.3	—	2023 Big-Game Complete Drawing... · sheet1 row 863

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How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.