New Mexico Elk ELK-2-272

Either-sex elk, archery in GMU 16A, archery only, Sep 1–14, 2026. 99% public land, mostly National Forest. High demand.

No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

Your odds · 2026 draw

3% Same for everyone

about 1 in 38, every year you apply

Every applicant has the same chance each year: in 2026, 15 tags went to 457 first-choice applicants.

Points: none, same chance every year

NR Tags
15
Applicants
457
Success
48%

First-choice nonresidents, standard draw; nonresidents capped at 6%. Success: all hunters in GMU 16A, 2025.

Odds by Year, 2023–2026

odds (tags ÷ applicants) applicants per tag
2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3%
2023
41:1
2024
29:1
2025
32:1
2026
31:1

Odds (tags ÷ applicants) ran from 2% to 3% across 2023–2026. Applicants per tag: 41:1 in 2023, 31:1 in 2026.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Mar 17 · 150 days
Cost to Apply
$867
If You Miss
$107
If You Draw
$877

The $13 nonresident draw application fee (per species, nonrefundable; included in the printed draw price) is not refunded. The $90 nonresident Game-Hunting License (must be purchased, nonrefundable, before applying for any big-game draw) is not refunded. The $4 habitat Management and Access Validation (HMAV), mandatory age 18+, added automatically with the Game-Hunting License is not refunded. Drawing adds the $10 habitat Stamp (required to hunt on BLM and Forest Service land; buy by May 15 to be printed on the licence/tag). The $760 nonresident Standard Elk License, mature bull or either sex (printed draw price $773 incl. $13 application fee); charged at application, refunded if unsuccessful. Quality / high-demand hunt codes are $998 printed is refunded if you miss.

Opens
—
Closes
Mar 17, 2027
Results
about Apr 21

Next application window: Closes Mar 17, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until New Mexico Department of Game and Fish publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Reserve 16A
48%hunter success 2025 · 858 hunters, 304 elk
GMU 16A in full →

Details

Odds in This Draw · 2026 Draw

Who Chance Applied Drew
Everyone 3% — 12

First-choice tags drawn ÷ first-choice applicants, as published. A dash means New Mexico Department of Game and Fish did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: NMDGF 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds Complete Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
<1%

Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published.

3rd Choice
<1%

Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
All of GMU 16A 858 304 48%

Across every license type in GMU 16A, New Mexico Department of Game and Fish counted 858 hunters and 304 elk taken in 2025, and 48% of them took an elk. Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: NMDGF 2025-2026 Elk Harvest Report; NMDGF 2024-2025 Elk Harvest Report.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Published Odds Source
2026 15 457 30.5 1% NMDGF 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds Complete Report
2025 15 473 31.5 1% NMDGF 2025-26 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete…
2024 15 440 29.3 1% NMDGF 2024-25 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete…
2023 15 613 40.9 1% NMDGF 2023 Big-Game Complete Drawing Odds Report

Other Licenses Valid in GMU 16A

  • ELK-1-274 Unit 16A mobility impaired only — mature bull — Any Legal - Mobility — Oct. 10-14Hunters with a disability permit only Oct 10–14 · 2 tags · 28 applied 7% (small sample)
  • ELK-1-275 Unit 16A — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 17-21 Oct 17–21 · 5 tags · 1,880 applied <1%
  • ELK-1-276 Unit 16A — mature bull — Any Legal — Oct. 24-28 Oct 24–28 · 6 tags · 232 applied 1%
  • ELK-1-277 Unit 16A — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 5-9 Dec 5–9 · 0 tags · not open to nonresidents in 2026 —
  • ELK-1-278 Unit 16A — antlerless — Any Legal - NM — Dec. 12-16 Dec 12–16 · 0 tags · not open to nonresidents in 2026 —
  • ELK-2-273 Unit 16A — either sex — Bow — Sept. 15-24 Sep 15–24 · 9 tags · 1,310 applied <1%

Odds for a first-choice nonresident, standard class where offered. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 14
  1. NMDGF 2026 Big Game Drawing Odds Complete Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. NMDGF 2025-26 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete… earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. NMDGF 2024-25 Big-Game Drawing Odds Complete… earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. NMDGF 2023 Big-Game Complete Drawing Odds Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. New Mexico Commission of Public Records - State Records Center and Archives 2023 19.31.3 NMAC draw rules, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. NMDGF 2026-2027 Draw Hunt License Fees / Draw… fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. NMDGF 2026-2027 Over-the-Counter License Fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. NMDGF 2025-2026 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. NMDGF 2024-2025 Elk Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. NMDGF 2023 Elk Hunter Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. NMDGF 2022 Elk Hunter Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. NMDGF 2021 Elk Hunter Harvest Report harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. NMDGF 2026 NM Game Management Units, layer 0 boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. U.S. Bureau of Land Management, New Mexico State Office 2023 BLM_Surface_Management_2023 land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from New Mexico Department of Game and Fish's published results (first-choice tags drawn ÷ first-choice applicants, as published). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check New Mexico Department of Game and Fish's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from New Mexico Department of Game and Fish's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All New Mexico elk hunts