Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw
about 1 in 400
You're 21 points below the 2026 cut of 21, which has fallen from 22 to 21 points since 2025.
Years to draw on points: —
- NR Tags
- 2
- Applicants
- 65
- Success
- —
First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%.
Points Needed to Draw, 2025–2026
The cut has fallen from 22 to 21 points since 2025. Applicants per tag: 17:1 in 2025, 33:1 in 2026.
Insufficient history (2 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.
What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees
Closes Feb 3 · 107 daysThe $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $650 nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee).
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
- Opens
- Jan 13, 2027
- Closes
- Feb 3, 2027
- Results
- about Feb 23
- Point Only
- $15, Jan 13 – Feb 3
Next application window: Open Jan 13 – Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) · paid at application $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) · paid at application $160 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee) · paid if drawn $650 AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ← you | <1% (small sample) | 7 | 0 |
| 1 | <1% (small sample) | 9 | 0 |
| 2 | <1% (small sample) | 7 | 0 |
| 3 | 1% (small sample) | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | 1% (small sample) | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | 1% (small sample) | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | 2% (small sample) | 5 | 1 |
| 7 | 2% (small sample) | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | 2% (small sample) | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | 2% (small sample) | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | 3% (small sample) | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | 3% (small sample) | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | 3% (small sample) | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 3% (small sample) | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | 4% (small sample) | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 3% (small sample) | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 4% (small sample) | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 4% (small sample) | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | 5% (small sample) | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | 5% (small sample) | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 5% (small sample) | — | — |
| 21 | 100% (small sample) the cut | 1 | 1 |
| 22–24 | 100% (small sample) same at every level | — | — |
Monte Carlo over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level. As a lower choice, 3144 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.
Draw results: AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 48, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 2 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Published Odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 65 | 32.5 | 21 | 2% | AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 48 |
| 2025 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 22 | 0.00% | AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 49 |
Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt
Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 3144 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.
| Year · What It Was | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · Unit 19A | 1 | 10 | 10 | — | AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 39 |
| 2023 · Unit 5A | 14 | 184 | 13.1 | 15 | AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 29 |
▸ Sources 4
- AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 48 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 49 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (monte Carlo over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.
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We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona elk hunts