Alaska Brown Bear DB470

14C, Chugach State Park Management Area in Unit 14C, archery only, Sep 1 – May 31, 2026.

No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

Your odds · 2025 draw

<1% Same for everyone

about 1 in 149, every year you apply

Every applicant has the same chance each year: in 2025, 15 tags went to 2,238 first-choice applicants.

Points: none, same chance every year

NR Tags
15
Applicants
2,238
Success
8%

First-choice nonresidents. Success: Drawing hunters, 2025.

Odds by Year, 2021–2025

odds (tags ÷ applicants) applicants per tag
0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7%
2021
110:1
2022
111:1
2023
116:1
2024
148:1
2025
149:1

Odds (tags ÷ applicants) ran from <1% to <1% across 2021–2025. Applicants per tag: 110:1 in 2021, 149:1 in 2025.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Dec 15 · 58 days
Cost to Apply
$165
If You Miss
$165
If You Draw
$1,165

The $5 drawing application fee, per hunt entry is not refunded. The $160 nonresident annual hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $1,000 nonresident brown/grizzly bear locking-tag.

Opens
Nov 1, 2026
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
Results
about Feb 19

Next application window: Open Nov 1 – Dec 15, 2026 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Alaska Department of Fish and Game publishes 2026.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Palmer Soldotna 14C
8%hunter success 2025 · 24 hunters, 2 brown bear
Unit 14C in full →

Details

Odds in This Draw · 2025 Draw

Who Chance Applied Drew
Everyone <1% — —

Tags ÷ applicants. As a lower choice, DB470 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Drawing 24 2 8%
All of Unit 14C 24 2 8%

Adding up Alaska Department of Fish and Game's published lines for Unit 14C gives 24 hunters and 2 brown bear taken in 2025, and 8% of them took a brown bear (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Alaska's figures come from mandatory harvest reports and sealing certificates rather than a hunter survey, so they are counts of animals reported, not estimates. Source: ADF&G 2025 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics; ADF&G 2024 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Published Odds Source
2025 15 2,238 149.2 1% ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2024 15 2,221 148.1 1% ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2023 15 1,735 115.7 1% ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2022 15 1,666 111.1 1% ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20
2021 15 1,649 109.9 1% ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 14C

  • DB468 14C, Eklutna Lake Management Area Sep 1 – May 31 · 20 tags · 461 applied 4%
  • DB477 14C, McHugh Creek Brown Bear Oct 1–31 · 3 tags · 279 applied 1% (small sample)

Odds for a first-choice nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 14
  1. ADF&G 2026-2027 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · draw results, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. ADF&G 2025-2026 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. ADF&G 2024-2025 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. ADF&G 2023-2024 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. ADF&G 2022-2023 Drawing Permit Hunt Supplement, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. ADF&G 2026 How Does the Random Drawing Work draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. ADF&G 2026 Drawing Hunt Information fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. ADF&G 2026 License, Stamp and Tag Prices fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ADF&G 2025 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ADF&G 2024 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ADF&G 2023 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ADF&G 2022 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ADF&G 2021 Brown/Grizzly Bear Draw Hunt Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. ADF&G 2026 Game Management Unit and Subunit… boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's published results (tags ÷ applicants). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Alaska Department of Fish and Game's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Alaska Department of Fish and Game's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Alaska brown bear hunts