Washington Elk 2270 — GMU Elk Area 1054
Blue Creek — Antlerless Elk Hunt, Antlerless (Eastern Muzzleloader) · Blue Creek
- What you may take
- Blue Creek — Antlerless Elk Hunt, Antlerless (Eastern Muzzleloader) (female)
- Weapon
- Muzzleloader
- Season (2026)
- Dec 6–26, 2026
- Nonresident tags (2025)
- 5
- for 83 first-choice applicants
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2025 draw · 2026 draw pending — showing 2025 odds
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 5 tags, 83 first-choice applicants. Source: 2025 Elk individual hunts —... · table '2273 - Blue Creek'.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 | 6% the pool average — a floor for anyone holding points, since each point adds entries | — | — |
Unweighted tags ÷ applicants — state did not publish pools. Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife publishes no per-level counts for this hunt; each point adds entries ((points + 1)²), so the pool average is a floor for anyone holding points and an overstatement for a first-year applicant. How we compute these.
What it costs (2025 nonresident fees)
Next application window: opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected) · results ~June 30. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Seasons (2026)
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | — | — | — | WDFW Hunt Planner 'Regulation'... · LicenseYear=2026;PermitHuntNumber=2270 |
| 2025 | 5 | 83 | 16.6 | — | 2025 Elk individual hunts —... · table '2273 - Blue Creek' |
| 2024 | 15 | 96 | 6.4 | — | 2024 Elk individual hunts —... · table '2272 - Blue Creek' |
| 2023 | 15 | 120 | 8.0 | — | 2023 Elk individual hunts —... · table '2287 - Blue Creek' |
| 2022 | 15 | 122 | 8.1 | — | 2022 Elk individual hunts —... · table '2287 - Blue Creek' |
Earlier years, when this number was a different hunt
Washington reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 2270 stood for another gmu or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.
| Year · what it was | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 · GMU 154 | 15 | 150 | 10.0 | — | 2021 Elk individual hunts —... · table '2285 - Blue Creek' |
Other licenses valid in Elk Area 1054
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.