Washington Deer — GMU 654

Mashel

Washington GMU 654 covers 207,633 acres and lies 22 miles south of Bonney Lake. 22% of it is public land, mostly state trust land (11%) and national forest (8%). In 2025, hunters took 165 deer here. The 2026 draw put up 20 nonresident tags here.

Nonresident tags (2026):85 Firearm hunter success (2025):15% Public land:22% Size:207,633 acres

Your chance of drawing here

Every deer license type on offer in GMU 654, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.

7 licenses on offer · 85 tags in the 2026 draw

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 1070 Mashel — Quality Deer Hunt, Any buck (Modern Firearm) 10 tags
    Cut level
  • 1318 Mashel — Antlerless Deer Hunt, Antlerless (Modern Firearm) 10 tags
    Cut level
  • 1329 Mashel — Antlerless Deer Hunt, Antlerless (Archery) 10 tags
    Cut level
  • 1351 Mashel — Antlerless Deer Hunt, Antlerless (Muzzleloader) 20 tags
    Cut level
  • 1561 Mashel — Youth Deer Hunt, Antlerless (Modern Firearm) 15 tags
    Cut level
  • 1638 Mashel — Deer Hunters 65 Years and Over, Antlerless (Modern Firearm) 10 tags
    Cut level
  • 1736 Mashel — Deer Hunters with Disabilities, Antlerless (Modern Firearm) 10 tags
    Cut level
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)

License Up front Gone if you miss If you draw
Per application $1,108.27 $1,108.27 $1,108.27

Application window: opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

The country

Bonney Lake Renton Kenmore Longview Ellensburg
GMU 654 within Washington
652 667 485 505 513 655 666 466 510 653 Bonney Lake Lakewood Lacey
GMU 654 and its neighbours
Zoomable USGS topo, aerial imagery and shaded relief, with the neighboring areas drawn on.

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Who owns the ground

  • Private 162,951 ac · 78%
  • State trust land 23,293 ac · 11%
  • National Forest 16,611 ac · 8%
  • State land 4,519 ac · 2%
  • County or city land 246 ac · 0%
  • Other public 10 ac · 0%

Source: WA DNR 'Non-DNR Major Public Lands' (NDMPL) layer, federal/state/county/city ownership parcels

How the hunting has gone

What Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Washington's figures come from mandatory hunter reports. WDFW credits a multi-GMU special-permit hunt's harvest to every GMU it spans rather than splitting it, so unit totals add up to more than the statewide total.

Season Harvest
2025 165
2024 267
2023 167
2022 215
2021 179

What people carried (2025 harvest)

  • Archery 11 · 8% · 100 hunters, 11% success
  • Firearm 119 · 86% · 770 hunters, 15% success
  • Muzzleloader 9 · 6% · 80 hunters, 11% success

Boundary: WDFW Hunt Planner 'UnitSpatial' polygon layer (WP_HuntPlanner/Regulation/MapServer/0)

Harvest: WDFW Hunt Planner 'BigGame' harvest table (WP_HuntPlanner/Harvest/MapServer/1)

How we compute draw odds · All Washington deer hunts