Arizona Elk 3932
Any elk, archery in CN — Camp Navajo, archery only, Sep 26 – Oct 2, 2025. 100% public land, mostly Department of Defense.
Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw
about 1 in 19
You're 6 points below the 2026 cut of 6.
Years to draw on points: —
- Tags
- 5
- Nonresident Applicants
- 12
- Success
- 17%
First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: Archery-only antlerless · 7 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) hunters, 2025.
Points Needed to Draw, 2023–2026
Applicants per tag: 2.6:1 in 2023, 6:1 in 2026.
Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.
What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees
Closes Feb 3 · 108 daysThe $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $650 nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee).
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
- Opens
- Jan 13, 2027
- Closes
- Feb 3, 2027
- Results
- about Feb 23
- Point Only
- $15, Jan 13 – Feb 3
Next application window: Open Jan 13 – Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) · paid at application $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) · paid at application $160 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee) · paid if drawn $650 AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ← you | 5% | 6 | 0 |
| 1 | 11% | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | 15% | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 20% | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 79% | 1 | 0 |
| 6–10 | 100% same at every level | — | — |
Monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.
Draw results: AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 71, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
As a Lower Choice
Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.
How It Hunted, 2025
| Who | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archery-only antlerless · 7 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) | 6 | 1 | 17% |
| Archery-only antlerless · 9 licenses | 8 | 2 | 25% |
| Archery-only antlerless · 7 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Archery-only antlerless · 5 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Archery-only antlerless · 5 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Archery-only any elk · 7 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) | 7 | 1 | 14% |
| Archery-only any elk · 7 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Archery-only any elk · 4 licenses | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Archery-only any elk · 5 licenses | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Archery-only any elk · 10 licenses | 10 | 3 | 30% |
| General antlerless · 15 licenses | 10 | 9 | 90% |
| General antlerless · 12 licenses | 11 | 3 | 27% |
| General antlerless · 6 licenses | 6 | 5 | 83% |
| General antlerless · 2 licenses | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| General antlerless · 7 licenses | 6 | 3 | 50% |
| General antlerless · 9 licenses | 9 | 2 | 22% |
| General antlerless · 17 licenses | 15 | 6 | 40% |
| General antlerless · 10 licenses | 5 | 4 | 80% |
| General antlerless · 8 licenses | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| General antlerless · 5 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| General antlerless · 5 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) | 5 | 5 | 100% |
| General any elk · 16 licenses | 12 | 5 | 42% |
| General any elk · 4 licenses | 4 | 3 | 75% |
| General any elk · 6 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| General any elk · 3 licenses (hunt 1 of 3) | 3 | 1 | 33% |
| General any elk · 6 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) | 6 | 4 | 67% |
| General any elk · 2 licenses | — | — | — |
| General any elk · 3 licenses (hunt 3 of 3) | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| General any elk · 3 licenses (hunt 2 of 3) | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Muzzleloader antlerless · 10 licenses | 10 | 3 | 30% |
| Muzzleloader antlerless · 5 licenses | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Muzzleloader any elk · 3 licenses | 3 | 2 | 67% |
| Muzzleloader any elk · 2 licenses | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| All of CN | 184 | 68 | 37% |
Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for CN gives 184 hunters and 68 elk taken in 2025, and 37% of them took an elk (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags (All Res.) | Nonresident Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Published Odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0.00% | AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 71 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 2.8 | — | 50% | AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 71 |
| 2024 | 5 | 3 | 2.2 | — | 0.00% | AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 56 |
| 2023 | 5 | 3 | 2.6 | — | 33% | AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 44 |
Other Licenses Valid in CN
- 3901 General · Antlerless elk Sep 19–25 · 10 tags · 2 applied 16%
- 3902 General · Antlerless elk Sep 26 – Oct 2 · 7 tags · 0 applied 100%
- 3903 General · Antlerless elk Oct 24–30 · 5 tags · 0 applied 63%
- 3904 General · Antlerless elk Sep 19–25 · 2 tags · cut 4 6% (small sample)
- 3905 General · Antlerless elk Oct 3–9 · 4 tags · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3906 General · Antlerless elk Oct 24–30 · 7 tags · 0 applied 44%
- 3907 General · Antlerless elk Nov 14 – Dec 7 · 3 tags · 0 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3908 General · Antlerless elk Sep 26 – Oct 2 · 15 tags · 0 applied 56%
- 3909 General · Antlerless elk Oct 3–9 · 5 tags · 3 applied 6%
- 3910 General · Antlerless elk Oct 24–30 · 4 tags · 0 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3911 General · Antlerless elk Nov 14 – Dec 7 · 6 tags · 1 applied 100%
- 3912 General Sep 12–18 · 2 tags · 1 applied 5% (small sample)
- 3913 General Sep 19–25 · 5 tags · 0 applied 63%
- 3914 General Sep 26 – Oct 2 · 10 tags · 45 applied 1%
- 3915 General Oct 24–30 · 3 tags · 7 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3916 General Oct 3–9 · 3 tags · 5 applied 3% (small sample)
- 3917 General Oct 24–30 · 3 tags · 2 applied 7% (small sample)
- 3918 General Sep 26 – Oct 2 · 2 tags · 10 applied <1% (small sample)
- 3919 General Oct 3–9 · 3 tags · 2 applied 7% (small sample)
- 3920 General Oct 24–30 · 2 tags · 4 applied <1% (small sample)
- 3921 Muzzleloader · Antlerless elk Oct 10–16 · 2 tags · 4 applied 4% (small sample)
- 3922 Muzzleloader · Antlerless elk Oct 10–16 · 2 tags · 1 applied 6% (small sample)
- 3923 Muzzleloader Oct 10–16 · 6 tags · 0 applied 100%
- 3924 Muzzleloader Oct 10–16 · 3 tags · 0 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3925 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Sep 12–18 · 3 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3926 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Oct 3–9 · 2 tags · 3 applied 3% (small sample)
- 3927 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Oct 17–23 · 5 tags · 2 applied 34%
- 3928 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Oct 24–30 · 5 tags · 0 applied 100%
- 3929 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Oct 31 – Nov 13 · 7 tags 100%
- 3930 Archery-Only Sep 12–18 · 2 tags · 1 applied 100% (small sample)
- 3931 Archery-Only Sep 19–25 · 11 tags · cut 2 100%
- 3933 Archery-Only Oct 3–9 · 5 tags · 10 applied 3%
- 3934 Archery-Only Oct 10–16 · 3 tags · 3 applied 4% (small sample)
- 3935 Archery-Only Oct 31 – Nov 13 · 3 tags · 1 applied 0% (small sample)
Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.
▸ Sources 18
- AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 71 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 71 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 56 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 44 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Draw Odds, p. 7 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2023 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2022 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2021 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2020 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2019 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2018 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2017 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (monte Carlo over published bonus-point pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.
Report an error on this page
We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Arizona elk hunts